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This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

We present an optimization-based method for the joint estimation of system parameters and noise covariances of linear time-variant systems. Given measured data, this method maximizes the likelihood of the parameters. We solve the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Léo Simpson , Andrea Ghezzi , Jonas Asprion , Moritz Diehl

In this paper we propose a solution to the problem of parameter estimation of nonlinearly parameterized regressions--continuous or discrete time--and apply it for system identification and adaptive control. We restrict our attention to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Romeo Ortega , Vladislav Gromov , Emmanuel Nuño , Anton Pyrkin , Jose Guadalupe Romero

Predicting the response of nonlinear dynamical systems subject to random, broadband excitation is important across a range of scientific disciplines, such as structural dynamics and neuroscience. Building data-driven models requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Joseph Massingham , Ole Nielsen , Tore Butlin

We study the transport properties of nonautonomous chaotic dynamical systems over a finite time duration. We are particularly interested in those regions that remain coherent and relatively non-dispersive over finite periods of time,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Gary Froyland , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Adam Monahan

This paper proposes an algorithm to estimate the parameters, including time delay, of continuous time systems based on instrumental variable identification methods. To overcome the multiple local minima of the cost function associated with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Huong Ha , James S. Welsh , Mazen Alamir

We show how any dataset of any modality (time-series, images, sound...) can be approximated by a well-behaved (continuous, differentiable...) scalar function with a single real-valued parameter. Building upon elementary concepts from chaos…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Laurent Boué

Time delay estimation plays a critical role in control, stabilization and state estimation of many practical system with time delay. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate delay for discrete time linear multiple-input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Iman Shafikhani , Hazhar Sufi Karimi , Mohammad Mohammadian , Amin Ramezani , Hamid Reza Momeni

In order to develop systems capable of artificial evolution, we need to identify which systems can produce complex behavior. We present a novel classification method applicable to any class of deterministic discrete space and time dynamical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Barbora Hudcová , Tomáš Mikolov

We introduce a technique of time series analysis, potential forecasting, which is based on dynamical propagation of the probability density of time series. We employ polynomial coefficients of the orthogonal approximation of the empirical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 V. N. Livina , G. Lohmann , M. Mudelsee , T. M. Lenton

An assumption of smooth response to small parameter changes, of statistics or long-time averages of a chaotic system, is generally made in the field of sensitivity analysis, and the parametric derivatives of statistical quantities are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-22 Adam A. Sliwiak , Nisha Chandramoorthy , Qiqi Wang

The abstraction of dynamical systems is a powerful tool that enables the design of feedback controllers using a correct-by-design framework. We investigate a novel scheme to obtain data-driven abstractions of discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Rudi Coppola , Andrea Peruffo , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Manuel Mazo

Process Monitoring involves tracking a system's behaviors, evaluating the current state of the system, and discovering interesting events that require immediate actions. In this paper, we consider monitoring temporal system state sequences…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

Determination of the nature of the dynamical state of a system as a function of its parameters is an important problem in the study of dynamical systems. This problem becomes harder in experimental systems where the obtained data is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-29 Rishab Antosh , Sanjit Das , N. Nirmal Thyagu

A geometric generalization of the discrete-time linear deadbeat control problem is studied. The proposed method to generate a deadbeat tracker for a given nonlinear system is constructive and makes use of sets that can be computed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-04-29 S. Emre Tuna

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

We report on a significant improvement of the classical time-delayed feedback control method for stabilization of unstable periodic orbits or steady states. In an electronic circuit experiment we were able to realize time-varying and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-02-03 Thomas Jüngling , Aleksandar Gjurchinovski , Viktor Urumov

We address the problem of estimating the inputs of a dynamical system from measurements of the system's outputs. To this end, we introduce a novel estimation algorithm that explicitly trades off bias and variance to optimally reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Sebastian Curi , Kfir Y. Levy , Andreas Krause

Many complex phenomena, from weather systems to heartbeat rhythm patterns, are effectively modeled as low-dimensional dynamical systems. Such systems may behave chaotically under certain conditions, and so the ability to detect chaos based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Hagai Rappeport , Irit Levin Reisman , Naftali Tishby , Nathalie Q. Balaban

Though switched dynamical systems have shown great utility in modeling a variety of physical phenomena, the construction of an optimal control of such systems has proven difficult since it demands some type of optimal mode scheduling. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Ramanarayan Vasudevan , Humberto Gonzalez , Ruzena Bajcsy , S. Shankar Sastry