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First principles modeling of physical systems has led to significant technological advances across all branches of science. For nonlinear systems, however, small modeling errors can lead to significant deviations from the true, measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Kadierdan Kaheman , Eurika Kaiser , Benjamin Strom , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton

Using a dynamical model to make predictions about a system has many sources of error. These can include errors in how the model was initialised but also errors in the dynamics of the model itself. For many applications in data assimilation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-07 P. A. Browne

Fitting models to data is an important part of the practice of science. Advances in machine learning have made it possible to fit more -- and more complex -- models, but have also exacerbated a problem: when multiple models fit the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Alexandre René , André Longtin

Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 T. M. Erhardt , C. Czado , T. L. Thorarinsdottir

Many biological phenomena such as locomotion, circadian cycles, and breathing are rhythmic in nature and can be modeled as rhythmic dynamical systems. Dynamical systems modeling often involves neglecting certain characteristics of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-01-20 M. Mert Ankaralı , Shahin Sefati , Manu S. Madhav , Andrew Long , Amy J. Bastian , Noah J. Cowan

Identification of the parameters of stable linear dynamical systems is a well-studied problem in the literature, both in the low and high-dimensional settings. However, there are hardly any results for the unstable case, especially…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-06 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Measurement involves the determination of quantitative estimates of physical quantities from experiment, along with estimates of their associated uncertainties. Herewith an experimental system model is the key to extracting information from…

Applications · Statistics 2008-09-01 Vladimir B. Bokov

Equations governing the nonlinear dynamics of complex systems are usually unknown and indirect methods are used to reconstruct their manifolds. In turn, they depend on embedding parameters requiring other methods and long temporal sequences…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-24 Valeria d'Andrea , Manlio De Domenico

The problem of determining the mathematical model of the dynamics of multi-dimensional control systems in the presence of noise under the condition that the correlation functions cannot be found. Known statistical dynamics of linear systems…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2013-01-29 V. N. Tibabishev

The concept of random dynamical system is a comparatively recent development combining ideas and methods from the well developed areas of probability theory and dynamical systems. Due to our inaccurate knowledge of the particular physical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vitor Araujo

We develop a tracking model predictive control (MPC) scheme for nonlinear systems using the linearized dynamics at the current state as a prediction model. Under reasonable assumptions on the linearized dynamics, we prove that the proposed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Julian Berberich , Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

We study nonlinear dynamics on complex networks. Each vertex $i$ has a state $x_i$ which evolves according to a networked dynamics to a steady-state $x_i^*$. We develop fundamental tools to learn the true steady-state of a small part of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Chunheng Jiang , Jianxi Gao , Malik Magdon-Ismail

The development of efficient and robust dynamic models is fundamental in the field of systems and control engineering. In this paper, a new formulation for the dynamic model of nonlinear mechanical systems, that can be applied to different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Davide Tebaldi , Roberto Zanasi

Knowledge about existence, strength, and dominant direction of causal influences is of paramount importance for understanding complex systems. With limited amounts of realistic data, however, current methods for investigating causal links…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-20 Erik Laminski , Klaus R. Pawelzik

Stability of dynamical systems is a central topic with applications in widespread areas such as economy, biology, physics and mechanical engineering. The dynamics of nonlinear systems may completely change due to perturbations forcing the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Niklas L. P. Lundström

Stochastic contraction analysis is a recently developed tool for studying the global stability properties of nonlinear stochastic systems, based on a differential analysis of convergence in an appropriate metric. To date, stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Quang-Cuong Pham , Jean-Jacques Slotine

In scientific inference problems, the underlying statistical modeling assumptions have a crucial impact on the end results. There exist, however, only a few automatic means for validating these fundamental modelling assumptions. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Andreas Svensson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica , Thomas B. Schön

Model-based mutation testing uses altered test models to derive test cases that are able to reveal whether a modelled fault has been implemented. This requires conformance checking between the original and the mutated model. This paper…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2012-02-29 Bernhard K. Aichernig , Elisabeth Jöbstl

Economic models may exhibit incompleteness depending on whether or not they admit certain policy-relevant features such as strategic interaction, self-selection, or state dependence. We develop a novel test of model incompleteness and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-08 Shuowen Chen , Hiroaki Kaido

Ordinary differential equations have been used to model dynamical systems in a broad range. Model checking for parametric ordinary differential equations is a necessary step to check whether the assumed models are plausible. In this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Ran Liu , Yun Fang , Lixing Zhu