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We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

In this paper, we study probabilistic numerical methods based on optimal quantization algorithms for computing the solution to optimal multiple switching problems with regime-dependent state process. We first consider a discrete-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-14 Paul Gassiat , Idris Kharroubi , Huyên Pham

Monte Carlo sampling methods often suffer from long correlation times. Consequently, these methods must be run for many steps to generate an independent sample. In this paper a method is proposed to overcome this difficulty. The method…

Computation · Statistics 2007-09-13 Jonathan Weare

We present a non-iterative algorithm, FloatStepper, for coupling the motion of a rigid body and an incompressible fluid in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. The purpose of the algorithm is to remove the so-called added mass…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-22 Johan Roenby , Sithik Aliyar , Henrik Bredmose

We propose a multilevel Monte Carlo method for a particle-based asymptotic-preserving scheme for kinetic equations. Kinetic equations model transport and collision of particles in a position-velocity phase-space. With a diffusive scaling,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Emil Løvbak , Giovanni Samaey , Stefan Vandewalle

We propose an efficient method for Monte Carlo simulation of quantum lattice models. Unlike most other quantum Monte Carlo methods, a single run of the proposed method yields the free energy and the entropy with high precision for the whole…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Chiaki Yamaguchi , Naoki Kawashima , Yutaka Okabe

Real-world autonomous systems operate under uncertainty about both their pose and dynamics. Autonomous control systems must simultaneously perform estimation and control tasks to maintain robustness to changing dynamics or modeling errors.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Patrick Slade , Zachary N. Sunberg , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Nonequilibrium statistical models of point vortex systems are constructed using an optimal closure method, and these models are employed to approximate the relaxation toward equilibrium of systems governed by the two-dimensional Euler…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-26 Jonathan Maack , Bruce Turkington

We propose an algorithm for optimizations in which the gradients contain stochastic noise. This arises, for example, in structural optimizations when computations of forces and stresses rely on methods involving Monte Carlo sampling, such…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-11-30 Siyuan Chen , Shiwei Zhang

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We propose a hybrid algorithmic strategy for complex stochastic optimization problems, which combines the use of scenario trees from multistage stochastic programming with machine learning techniques for learning a policy in the form of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-25 Boris Defourny , Damien Ernst , Louis Wehenkel

We consider several multiscale-in-time kinetic Monte Carlo models, in which some variables evolve on a fast time scale, while the others evolve on a slow time scale. In the first two models we consider, a particle evolves in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Salma Lahbabi , Frederic Legoll

The problem of optimal motion planing and control is fundamental in robotics. However, this problem is intractable for continuous-time stochastic systems in general and the solution is difficult to approximate if non-instantaneous nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Mustafa Mukadam , Ching-An Cheng , Xinyan Yan , Byron Boots

A numerical technique is introduced that reduces exponentially the time required for Monte Carlo simulations of non-equilibrium systems. Results for the quasi-stationary probability distribution in two model systems are compared with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Bandrivskyy , S. Beri , D. G. Luchinsky , R. Mannella , P. V. E. McClintock

This paper studies an optimal control problem for continuous-time stochastic systems subject to reachability objectives specified in a subclass of metric interval temporal logic specifications, a temporal logic with real-time constraints.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

This paper deals with the question of how to most effectively conduct experiments in Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes so as to provide data that is most informative about a parameter of interest. Methods from Markov decision…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-31 Leifur Thorbergsson , Giles Hooker

I develop a numerical algorithm for stochastic impulse control in the spirit of Regression Monte Carlo for optimal stopping. The approach consists in generating statistical surrogates (aka functional approximators) for the continuation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-15 Mike Ludkovski

Multi-stage stochastic optimization is a well-known quantitative tool for decision-making under uncertainty. It is broadly used in financial and investment planning, inventory control, and also natural disaster risk management. Theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Anna Timonina-Farkas

This paper studies a control method for switching stable coexisting attractors of a class of non-autonomous dynamical systems. The central idea is to introduce a continuous path for the system's trajectory to transition from its original…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-01 Zhi Zhang , Joseph Páez Chávez , Jan Sieber , Yang Liu

We analyse the convergence and stability of a micro-macro acceleration algorithm for Monte Carlo simulations of stiff stochastic differential equations with a time-scale separation between the fast evolution of the individual stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Przemysław Zieliński , Hannes Vandecasteele , Giovanni Samaey