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We propose a stochastic model of opinion exchange in networks. A finite set of agents is organized in a fixed network structure. There is a binary state of the world and each agent receives a private signal on the state. We model beliefs as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Emilien Macault

In this work, we analyze the conditions under which information about the context of an input $X$ can improve the predictions of deep learning models in new domains. Following work in marginal transfer learning in Domain Generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Jens Müller , Lars Kühmichel , Martin Rohbeck , Stefan T. Radev , Ullrich Köthe

We derive properties of Latent Variable Models for networks, a broad class of models that includes the widely-used Latent Position Models. These include the average degree distribution, clustering coefficient, average path length and degree…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-26 Riccardo Rastelli , Nial Friel , Adrian E. Raftery

The paper extends Bayesian networks (BNs) by a mechanism for dynamic changes to the probability distributions represented by BNs. One application scenario is the process of knowledge acquisition of an observer interacting with a system. In…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Benjamin Cabrera , Tobias Heindel , Reiko Heckel , Barbara König

A primary goal in recent research on contextuality has been to extend this concept to cases of inconsistent connectedness, where observables have different distributions in different contexts. This article proposes a solution within the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-06-07 Matt Jones

This work is aimed at studying realistic social control strategies for social networks based on the introduction of random information into the state of selected driver agents. Deliberately exposing selected agents to random information is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Marco Cremonini , Francesca Casamassima

When a hybrid Bayesian network has conditionally deterministic variables with continuous parents, the joint density function for the continuous variables does not exist. Conditional linear Gaussian distributions can handle such cases when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Barry Cobb , Prakash P. Shenoy

Time-varying connections are crucial in understanding the structures and dynamics of complex networks. In this paper, we propose a continuous-time switching topology model for temporal networks that is driven by bursty behavior and study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-21 Ziyan Zeng , Minyu Feng , Matjaž Perc , Jürgen Kurths

Agent-based models typically treat systems in isolation, discarding environmental coupling as either computationally prohibitive or dynamically irrelevant. We demonstrate that this neglect misses essential physics: environmental degrees of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-12 Semra Gunduc , David J. Butts , Michael S. Murillo

Traditionally categorical data analysis (e.g. generalized linear models) works with simple, flat datasets akin to a single table in a database with no notion of missing data or conflicting versions. In contrast, modern data analysis must…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Jason Morton

Predicting undesirable events during the execution of a business process instance provides the process participants with an opportunity to intervene and keep the process aligned with its goals. Few approaches for tackling this challenge…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Jens Brunk , Matthias Stierle , Leon Papke , Kate Revoredo , Martin Matzner , Jörg Becker

From the climate system to the effect of the internet on society, chaotic systems appear to have a significant role in our future. Here a method of statistical learning for a class of chaotic systems is described along with underlying…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-26 Michael LuValle

The object of contextuality analysis is a set of random variables each of which is uniquely labeled by a content and a context. In the measurement terminology, the content is that which the random variable measures, whereas the context…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-09-05 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

In his constructive and well-informed commentary, Andrei Khrennikov acknowledges a privileged status of classical probability theory with respect to statistical analysis. He also sees advantages offered by the Contextuality-by-Default…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-12-14 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Maria Kon

Count-weighted temporal networks often exhibit unequal dispersion in the edge weights, which cannot be fully explained by modelling observational heterogeneity through latent factors in the conditional mean. Therefore, we propose new…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Antonio Peruzzi

Boolean networks are special types of finite state time-discrete dynamical systems. A Boolean network can be described by a function from an n-dimensional vector space over the field of two elements to itself. A fundamental problem in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-03 Yi Ming Zou

We explore generalizations of some integrated learning and optimization frameworks for data-driven contextual stochastic optimization that can adapt to heteroscedasticity. We identify conditions on the stochastic program, data generation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James Luedtke

Autonomous systems in the road transportation network require intelligent mechanisms that cope with uncertainty to foresee the future. In this paper, we propose a multi-stage probabilistic approach for trajectory forecasting: trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Tiago Rodrigues de Almeida , Oscar Martinez Mozos

Bounded rational agents often make decisions by evaluating a finite selection of choices, typically derived from a reference point termed the $`$default policy,' based on previous experience. However, the inherent rigidity of the static…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Durgakant Pushp , Junhong Xu , Zheng Chen , Lantao Liu

Random Boolean networks (RBNs) have been a popular model of genetic regulatory networks for more than four decades. However, most RBN studies have been made with random topologies, while real regulatory networks have been found to be…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2015-03-17 Rodrigo Poblanno-Balp , Carlos Gershenson
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