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Many models in natural language processing define probabilistic distributions over linguistic structures. We argue that (1) the quality of a model' s posterior distribution can and should be directly evaluated, as to whether probabilities…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-09-03 Khanh Nguyen , Brendan O'Connor

This paper studies the propagation of finite-sample uncertainty under nonlinear transformations commonly used in statistical decision systems. In particular, we consider process capability indices, which are widely used in manufacturing…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-11 Fei Jiang , Lei Yang

This article carries out a large dimensional analysis of standard regularized discriminant analysis classifiers designed on the assumption that data arise from a Gaussian mixture model with different means and covariances. The analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-19 Khalil Elkhalil , Abla Kammoun , Romain Couillet , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

A representation of Gaussian distributed sparsely sampled longitudinal data in terms of predictive distributions for their functional principal component scores (FPCs) maps available data for each subject to a multivariate Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Álvaro Gajardo , Xiongtao Dai , Hans-Georg Müller

In this article we perform an asymptotic analysis of parallel Bayesian logspline density estimators. Such estimators are useful for the analysis of datasets that are partitioned into subsets and stored in separate databases without the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos , Alexey Miroshnikov , Erin Conlon

Gaussian graphical model is a graphical representation of the dependence structure for a Gaussian random vector. It is recognized as a powerful tool in different applied fields such as bioinformatics, error-control codes, speech language,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-10 Valery A. Kalyagin , Alexander P. Koldanov , Petr A. Koldanov , Panos M. Pardalos

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

Sinopoli et al. (TAC, 2004) considered the problem of optimal estimation for linear systems with Gaussian noise and intermittent observations, available according to a Bernoulli arrival process. They showed that there is a "critical"…

Applications · Statistics 2009-06-10 Andrea Censi

When the difference between treatments in a clinical trial is estimated by a difference in means, then it is well known that randomization ensures unbiassed estimation, even if no account is taken of important baseline covariates. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-22 J. N. S. Matthews , Nuri H. Badi

One major impediment to the wider use of deep learning for clinical decision making is the difficulty of assigning a level of confidence to model predictions. Currently, deep Bayesian neural networks and sparse Gaussian processes are the…

Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

We compare failure distributions of quantum error correction circuits for stochastic errors and coherent errors. We utilize a fully coherent simulation of a fault tolerant quantum error correcting circuit for a $d=3$ Steane and surface…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-17 Jeff P. Barnes , Colin J. Trout , Dennis G. Lucarelli , B. D. Clader

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

This work concerns the nonlinear filtering problem of multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems where the whole systems depend on distributions of fast components. First of all, we prove that the slow component of the original system…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Huijie Qiao , Wanlin Wei

We present a method to approximate Gaussian process regression models for large datasets by considering only a subset of the data. Our approach is novel in that the size of the subset is selected on the fly during exact inference with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Simon Bartels , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen , Søren Hauberg

The Bayesian smoothing equations are generally intractable for systems described by nonlinear stochastic differential equations and discrete-time measurements. Gaussian approximations are a computationally efficient way to approximate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Simo Särkkä , Robert Piché

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

The nonlinear energy response of cryogenic microcalorimeters is usually corrected through an empirical calibration. X-ray or gamma-ray emission lines of known shape and energy anchor a smooth function that generalizes the calibration data…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2022-08-23 J. W. Fowler , B. K. Alpert , G. C. O'Neil , D. S. Swetz , J. N. Ullom