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We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

We describe a method to model nonlinear dynamical systems using periodic solutions of delay-differential equations. We show that any finite-time trajectory of a nonlinear dynamical system can be loaded approximately into the initial…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander N. Jourjine

We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

We study generalized indicators of sensitivity to initial conditions and orbit complexity in topological dynamical systems. The orbit complexity is a measure of the asymptotic behavior of the information that is necessary to describe the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Stefano Galatolo

We propose a reconstruction of the initial system of ordinary differential equations from a single observed variable. The suggested approach is applied to a certain class of systems which includes, in particular, the Rossler system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-02-12 V. Gorodetskyi , M. Osadchuk

We consider regression problems where the number of predictors greatly exceeds the number of observations. We propose a method for variable selection that first estimates the regression function, yielding a "pre-conditioned" response…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Debashis Paul , Eric Bair , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

We propose a novel method applied to extrasolar planetary dynamics to describe the system stability. The observations in this field serve the measurements mainly of radial velocity, transit time, and/or celestial position. These scalar time…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Tamas Kovacs

Considering deterministic classical lattice systems with continuous variables, we show that, if the initial conditions are sampled according to a probability distribution in which the dynamical variables are statistically independent, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-29 Nicolas Nessi , Peter Reimann

We consider the model reduction problem for linear time-invariant dynamical systems having nonzero (but otherwise indeterminate) initial conditions. Building upon the observation that the full system response is decomposable as a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-04 Christopher A. Beattie , Serkan Gugercin , Volker Mehrmann

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

The initialization of equation-based differential-algebraic system models, and more in general the solution of many engineering and scientific problems, require the solution of systems of nonlinear equations. Newton-Raphson's method is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Francesco Casella , Bernhard Bachmann

In many large systems, such as those encountered in biology or economics, the dynamics are nonlinear and are only known very coarsely. It is often the case, however, that the signs (excitation or inhibition) of individual interactions are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Marco Tulio Angulo , Jean-Jacques Slotine

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched nonlinear systems. These systems may be regarded as piecewise deterministic stochastic systems: the discrete switches are triggered by a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

When estimating a single subsystem (module) in a linear dynamic network with a prediction error method, a data-informativity condition needs to be satisfied for arriving at a consistent module estimate. This concerns a condition on input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-13 Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Shengling Shi , Stefanie J. M. Fonken , Karthik R. Ramaswamy , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Arne G. Dankers

We often rely on probabilistic measures -- e.g. event probability or expected time -- to characterize systems' safety. However, determining these quantities for extremely low-probability events is generally challenging, as standard safety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Aitor R. Gomez , Manuela L. Bujorianu , Rafal Wisniewski

Consider an n-dimensional linear system where it is known that there are at most k<n non-zero components in the initial state. The observability problem, that is the recovery of the initial state, for such a system is considered. We obtain…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-17 Wei Dai , Serdar Yüksel

Bilinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many different domains and they can also be used to approximate more general control-affine systems. This motivates the problem of learning bilinear systems from a single trajectory of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Yahya Sattar , Samet Oymak , Necmiye Ozay