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Let W be the number of points in (0,t] of a stationary finite-state Markov renewal point process. We derive a bound for the total variation distance between the distribution of W and a compound Poisson distribution. For any nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Torkel Erhardsson

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

The systematic development of Coarse-Grained (CG) models via the Mori-Zwanzig projector operator formalism requires the explicit description of several terms, including a deterministic drift term, a dissipative memory term and a random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-29 N. Di Pasquale , T. Hudson , M. Icardi , L. Rovigatti , M. Spinaci

Memory effects can be studied through a conditional past-future correlation, which measures departure with respect to a conditional past-future independence valid in a memoryless Markovian regime. In a quantum regime this property leads to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-06-05 Adrian A. Budini

To make progress in understanding the issue of memory loss and history dependence in evolving complex systems, we consider the mixing rate that specifies how fast the future states become independent of the initial condition. We propose a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-19 Miroslav Kramar , Lenka Kovalcinova , Konstantin Mischaikow , Lou Kondic

The embedding problem of Markov transition matrices into continuous-time Markov semigroups is a classic problem that regained a lot of impetus and activities in recent years. We consider it here for the following generalisation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Ellen Baake , Michael Baake

We study the long-time behaviour of a class of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes which are an extension of some recent works. These $d$-dimensional processes, d>=1, can especially be used to model the motion of a bacterium in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Ninon Fétique

This article describes an accurate procedure for computing the mean first passage times of a finite irreducible Markov chain and a Markov renewal process. The method is a refinement to the Kohlas, Zeit fur Oper Res, 30,197-207, (1986)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Jeffrey J. Hunter

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

Memory is the fundamental form of temporal complexity: when present but uncontrollable, it manifests as non-Markovian noise; conversely, if controllable, memory can be a powerful resource for information processing. Memory effects arise…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-07 Philip Taranto , Marco Túlio Quintino , Mio Murao , Simon Milz

We present an approximate analytical expression for the escape rate of time-dependent driven stochastic processes with an absorbing boundary such as the driven leaky integrate-and-fire model for neural spiking. The novel approximation is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Schindler , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi

In this study, a new extension of the Markov Renewal theory is introduced by allowing time to evolve in multiple dimensions. The resulting chains are referred to as multi-time Markov Renewal chains and since this extension is new, the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Leonidas Kordalis , Samis Trevezas

The origin of the long-range memory in the non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases a notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

Stationary ergodic processes with finite alphabets are estimated by finite memory processes from a sample, an n-length realization of the process, where the memory depth of the estimator process is also estimated from the sample using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-25 Zsolt Talata

The so-called Maryland model is a linear version of the quantum kicked rotor; it exhibits Anderson localization in momentum space. By turning the kicks into a Markovian stochastic process, the dynamics becomes a dissipative quantum process…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-06-15 Fabio Benatti , Federico Carollo

We point out, according to the principle of entropy growth, that the volume occupied by the system in the momentum space should expand during the first-order phase transition. Such an expansion is visualized by the simulation using the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-09-01 Feng Li

There is a well-established theory linking certain semi-Markov chains and continuous-time random walks to time-fractional equations and anomalous diffusion. In this work, we go beyond the semi-Markov framework by considering some…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas

Stochastic phenomena occurring within charged particle beams can be handled using the Vlasov-Fokker-Planck generalization of the Vlasov equation. In particular, this non-deterministic approach can deal with effects due to Coulomb scattering…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2023-03-29 Jürgen Struckmeier

In this work, we will investigate a Bayesian approach to estimating the parameters of long memory models. Long memory, characterized by the phenomenon of hyperbolic autocorrelation decay in time series, has garnered significant attention.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Clara Grazian

Consider a finite number of balls initially placed in $L$ bins. At each time step a ball is taken from each non-empty bin. Then all the balls are uniformly reassigned into bins. This finite Markov chain is called Repeated Balls-into-Bins…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Nicoletta Cancrini , Gustavo Posta