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Accurate prediction over long time horizons is crucial for modeling complex physical processes such as wave propagation. Although deep neural networks show promise for real-time forecasting, they often struggle with accumulating phase and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Indu Kant Deo , Rajeev Jaiman

Deep neural network models have become ubiquitous in recent years, and have been applied to nearly all areas of science, engineering, and industry. These models are particularly useful for data that have strong dependencies in space (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-07 Christopher K. Wikle , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

In this paper a novel stochastic optimization and extremum seeking algorithm is presented, one which is based on time-delayed random perturbations and step size adaptation. For the case of a one-dimensional quadratic unconstrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Naum Dimitrieski , Michael Reyer , Mohamed-Ali Belabbas , Christian Ebenbauer

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We study the spatiotemporally chaotic dynamics of holes and defects in the 1D complex Ginzburg--Landau equation (CGLE). We focus particularly on the self--disordering dynamics of holes and on the variation in defect profiles. By enforcing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Martin Howard , Martin van Hecke

Chaos and complexity entail an entropic and computational obstruction to describing a system, and thus are intrinsically difficult to characterize. In this paper, we consider time evolution by Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE) Hamiltonians…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2017-11-16 Jordan Cotler , Nicholas Hunter-Jones , Junyu Liu , Beni Yoshida

In this paper, we first propose a Bayesian neighborhood selection method to estimate Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs). We show the graph selection consistency of this method in the sense that the posterior probability of the true model…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-08 Zhixiang Lin , Tao Wang , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

We propose a simple method to estimate the parameters involved in discrete dynamical systems from time series. The method is based on the concept of controlling chaos by constant feedback. The major advantages of the method are that it…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

The spatiotemporal chaos in the system described by a one-dimensional nonlinear drift-wave equation is controlled by directly adding a periodic force with appropriately chosen frequencies. By dividing the solution of the system into a…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Shunguang Wu , Kaifen He , Zuqia Huang

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

We suggest a spatially local feedback mechanism for stabilizing periodic orbits in spatially extended systems. Our method, which is based on a comparison between present and past states of the system, does not require the external…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 Michael E. Bleich , Joshua E. S. Socolar

We propose to learn a probabilistic motion model from a sequence of images. Besides spatio-temporal registration, our method offers to predict motion from a limited number of frames, useful for temporal super-resolution. The model is based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Julian Krebs , Tommaso Mansi , Nicholas Ayache , Hervé Delingette

Generalized chaotic synchronization regime is observed in the unidirectionally coupled one-dimensional Ginzburg-Landau equations. The mechanism resulting in the generalized synchronization regime arising in the coupled spatially extended…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander E. Hramov , Alexey A. Koronovskii , Pavel V. Popov

We introduce a computationally efficient and accurate reduced order modelling approach for the optimization of spatiotemporally chaotic systems. The proposed method combines quantized local reduced order modelling with adjoint-based…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-10 Defne E. Ozan , Antonio Colanera , Luca Magri

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

We investigate a generalised version of the recently proposed ordinal partition time series to network transformation algorithm. Firstly we introduce a fixed time lag for the elements of each partition that is selected using techniques from…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-20 Michael McCullough , Michael Small , Thomas Stemler , Herbert Ho-Ching Iu

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants--such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and fractal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Jason A. Platt , Stephen G. Penny , Timothy A. Smith , Tse-Chun Chen , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Yuanqi Du , Xiaojie Guo , Hengning Cao , Yanfang Ye , Liang Zhao

Recent progress toward classifying low-dimensional chaos measured from time series data is described. This classification theory assigns a template to the time series once the time series is embedded in three dimensions. The template…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Nicholas B. Tufillaro