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The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

In this work, we explore the state-space formulation of a network process to recover, from partial observations, the underlying network topology that drives its dynamics. To do so, we employ subspace techniques borrowed from system…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-26 Mario Coutino , Elvin Isufi , Takanori Maehara , Geert Leus

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

We propose an extension to time series with several simultaneously measured variables of the nonlinearity test, which combines the redundancy -- linear redundancy approach with the surrogate data technique. For several variables various…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-28 Milan Paluš

Heteroskedasticity is a statistical anomaly that describes differing variances of error terms in a time series dataset. The presence of heteroskedasticity in data imposes serious challenges for forecasting models and many statistical tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Marwa Hassan , Mo Hossny , Douglas Creighton , Saeid Nahavandi

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 T. M. Erhardt , C. Czado , T. L. Thorarinsdottir

We consider an approach for testing the hypothesis that two realizations of the random variables in the form of histograms are taken from the same statistical population (i.e. two histograms are drawn from the same distribution). The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-26 S. Bityukov , N. Krasnikov , A. Nikitenko , V. Smirnova

This work investigates whether time series of natural phenomena can be understood as being generated by sequences of latent states which are ordered in systematic and regular ways. We focus on clinical time series and ask whether clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Michael Hagmann , Michael Staniek , Stefan Riezler

The growing study of time series, especially those related to nonlinear systems, has challenged the methodologies to characterize and classify dynamical structures of a signal. Here we conceive a new diagnostic tool for time series based on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-05 G. Corso , T. L. Prado , G. Z. dos S. Lima , S. R. Lopes

We deal here with the issue of determinism versus randomness in time series. One wishes to identify their relative importance in a given time series. To this end we extend i) the use of ordinal patterns-based probability distribution…

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We introduce a new framework to analyze shape descriptors that capture the geometric features of an ensemble of point clouds. At the core of our approach is the point of view that the data arises as sampled recordings from a metric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Anne van Delft , Andrew J. Blumberg

An approach is suggested for analyzing time series by means of resummation techniques of theoretical physics. A particular form of such an analysis, based on the algebraic self-similar renormalization, is developed and illustrated by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 S. Gluzman , V. I. Yukalov

Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individual proteins are routinely garnered in single-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies. They contain vital clues on how viruses…

The decomposition of a time series is an essential task that helps to understand its very nature. It facilitates the analysis and forecasting of complex time series expressing various hidden components such as the trend, seasonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Grzegorz Dudek

Empirical determination of the scaling properties and exponents of time series presents a formidable challenge in testing, and developing, a theoretical understanding of turbulence and other out-of-equilibrium phenomena. We discuss the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-01-29 S. C. Chapman , B. Hnat , G. Rowlands , N. W. Watkins

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

A highly comparative, feature-based approach to time series classification is introduced that uses an extensive database of algorithms to extract thousands of interpretable features from time series. These features are derived from across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Ben D. Fulcher , Nick S. Jones
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