Related papers: Prediction of large-scale dynamics using unresolve…
Recent work on Path-Dependent Partial Differential Equations (PPDEs) has shown that PPDE solutions can be approximated by a probabilistic representation, implemented in the literature by the estimation of conditional expectations using…
We develop a framework for estimating unknown partial differential equations from noisy data, using a deep learning approach. Given noisy samples of a solution to an unknown PDE, our method interpolates the samples using a neural network,…
This paper develops meshless methods for probabilistically describing discretisation error in the numerical solution of partial differential equations. This construction enables the solution of Bayesian inverse problems while accounting for…
Fractional calculus has been used to describe physical systems with complexity. Here, we show that a fractional calculus approach can restore or include complexity in any physical systems that can be described by partial differential…
Uncertainties are abundant in complex systems. Mathematical models for these systems thus contain random effects or noises. The models are often in the form of stochastic differential equations, with some parameters to be determined by…
Optimal prediction (OP) methods compensate for a lack of resolution in the numerical solution of complex problems through the use of an invariant measure as a prior measure in the Bayesian sense. In first-order OP, unresolved information is…
Statistical (machine learning) tools for equation discovery require large amounts of data that are typically computer generated rather than experimentally observed. Multiscale modeling and stochastic simulations are two areas where learning…
In this work we study preprocessing for tractable problems when part of the input is unknown or uncertain. This comes up naturally if, e.g., the load of some machines or the congestion of some roads is not known far enough in advance, or if…
The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…
The past decades have seen increasing interest in modelling uncertainty by heterogeneous methods, combining probability and interval analysis, especially for assessing parameter uncertainty in engineering models. A unifying mathematical…
Many real-world scientific processes are governed by complex nonlinear dynamic systems that can be represented by differential equations. Recently, there has been increased interest in learning, or discovering, the forms of the equations…
Experimental data is often comprised of variables measured independently, at different sampling rates (non-uniform ${\Delta}$t between successive measurements); and at a specific time point only a subset of all variables may be sampled.…
Invariant foliations are complicated random sets useful for describing and understanding the qualitative behaviors of nonlinear dynamical systems. We will consider invariant foliations for stochastic partial differential equation with…
We propose predictive information, that is information between a long past of duration T and the entire infinitely long future of a time series, as a universal order parameter to study phase transitions in physical systems. It can be used,…
Delay differential equations are of great importance in science, engineering, medicine and biological models. These type of models include time delay phenomena which is helpful for characterising the real-world applications in machine…
Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…
For stochastic evolution equations with fractional derivatives, classical solutions exist when the order of the time derivative of the unknown function is not too small compared to the order of the time derivative of the noise; otherwise,…
A machine learning technique is proposed for quantifying uncertainty in power system dynamics with spatiotemporally correlated stochastic forcing. We learn one-dimensional linear partial differential equations for the probability density…
The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…
We introduce a novel numerical approach for a class of stochastic dynamic programs which arise as discretizations of backward stochastic differential equations or semi-linear partial differential equations. Solving such dynamic programs…