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This article develops a general framework for Laplace duality between positive Markov processes in which the one-dimensional Laplace transform of one process can be represented through that of another. We show that a process admits a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Clément Foucart , Matija Vidmar

The first aim of the present note is to quantify the speed of convergence of a conditioned process toward its Q-process under suitable assumptions on the quasi-stationary distribution of the process. Conversely, we prove that, if a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We prove distributional limit theorems (conditional and integrated) for the occupation times of certain weakly mixing, pointwise dual ergodic transformations at "tied-down" times immediately after "excursions". The limiting random variables…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-13 Jon. Aaronson , Toru Sera

Splitting probabilities quantify the likelihood of particular outcomes out of a set of mutually-exclusive possibilities for stochastic processes and play a central role in first-passage problems. For two-dimensional Markov processes…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-08-12 Emir Sezik , Jacob Knight , Henry Alston , Connor Roberts , Thibault Bertrand , Gunnar Pruessner , Luca Cocconi

This note presents conjectures on polynomial/algebraic/sub-exponential convergence of transition probabilities for $\lambda$-null recurrent and $\lambda$-transient Markov chains in continuous time. The only known positive examples are in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Phil. Pollett

In this work, we consider a finite-state inhomogeneous-time Markov chain whose probabilities of transition from one state to another tend to decrease over time. This can be seen as a cooling of the dynamics of an underlying Markov chain. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

This is a survey paper about reciprocal processes. The bridges of a Markov process are also Markov. But an arbitrary mixture of these bridges fails to be Markov in general. However, it still enjoys the interesting properties of a reciprocal…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Christian Léonard , Sylvie Roelly , Jean-Claude Zambrini

An analytical expression is derived for the transition path time distribution for a one-dimensional particle crossing of a parabolic barrier. Two cases are analyzed: (i) A non-Markovian process described by a generalized Langevin equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-29 E. Carlon , H. Orland , T. Sakaue , C. Vanderzande

For a positive self-similar Markov process, X, we construct a local time for the random set, $\Theta$, of times where the process reaches its past supremum. Using this local time we describe an exit system for the excursions of X out of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-10 Loïc Chaumont , Andreas Kyprianou , Juan Carlos Pardo , Víctor Rivero

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

Time homogeneous polynomial processes are Markov processes whose moments can be calculated easily through matrix exponentials. In this work, we develop a notion of time inhomogeneous polynomial processes where the coeffiecients of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 María Fernanda del Carmen Agoitia Hurtado , Thorsten Schmidt

Monotone L\'evy processes with additive increments are defined and studied. It is shown that these processes have a natural Markov structure and their Markov transition semigroups are characterized using the monotone L\'evy-Khintchine…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Uwe Franz , Naofumi Muraki

Starting from the forward and backward infinitesimal generators of bilateral, time-homogeneous Markov processes, the self-adjoint Hamiltonians of the generalized Schroedinger equations are first introduced by means of suitable Doob…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Andrea Andrisani , Nicola Cufaro Petroni

Let S be a denumerable state space and let P be a transition probability matrix on S. If a denumerable set M of nonnegative matrices is such that the sum of the matrices is equal to P, then we call M a partition of P. Let K denote the set…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Thomas Kaijser

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

In this paper, we consider two time-inhomogeneous Markov chains $X^{(l)}_t$, $l\in\{1,2\}$, with discrete time on a general state space. We assume the existence of some renewal set $C$ and investigate the time of simultaneous renewal, that…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Vitaliy Golomoziy

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

We provide short and simple proofs of the continuous time ballot theorem for processes with cyclically interchangeable increments and Kendall's identity for spectrally positive L\'evy processes. We obtain the later result as a direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Loïc Chaumont , Jacek Małecki

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We introduce a new partial order on the class of stochastically monotone Markov kernels having a given stationary distribution $\pi$ on a given finite partially ordered state space $\mathcal{X}$. When $K\preceq L$ in this partial order we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-09 James Allen Fill , Jonas Kahn