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The cover time of a Markov chain on a finite state space is the expected time until all states are visited. We show that if the cover time of a discrete-time Markov chain with rational transitions probabilities is bounded, then it is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 John Sylvester

We consider two types of discrete-time Markov chains where the state space is a graded poset and the transitions are taken along the covering relations in the poset. The first type of Markov chain goes only in one direction, either up or…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-06 Kimmo Eriksson , Markus Jonsson , Jonas Sjöstrand

In this note we derive the exact probability that a specific state in a two-state Markov chain is visited exactly $k$ times after $N$ transitions. We provide a closed-form solution for $\mathbb{P}(N_l = k \mid N)$, considering initial state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Mohammad Taha Shah

This paper presents a simple algorithm to check whether reachability probabilities in parametric Markov chains are monotonic in (some of) the parameters. The idea is to construct - only using the graph structure of the Markov chain and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Jip Spel , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

We consider a strictly substochastic matrix or an stochastic matrix with absorbing states. By using quasi-stationary distributions one shows there is a canonical associated stationary Markov chain. Based upon $2-$stringing representation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Servet Martínez

We consider a continuous-time Markov chain with a finite or countable state space. For a site y and subset H of the state space, the hitting time of y under taboo H is defined to be infinite if the process trajectory hits H before y, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Ekaterina Vl. Bulinskaya

A new object of the probability theory, two-sided chain of events (symbols), is introduced. A theory of multi-steps Markov chains with long-range memory, proposed earlier in Phys. Rev. E 68, 06117 (2003), is developed and used to establish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

Starting from a Markov chain with a finite alphabet, we consider the chain obtained when all but one symbol are undistinguishable for the practitioner. We study necessary and sufficient conditions for this chain to have continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Walter A. F. de Carvalho , Sandro Gallo , Nancy L. Garcia

We consider qualitative and quantitative verification problems for infinite-state Markov chains. We call a Markov chain decisive w.r.t. a given set of target states F if it almost certainly eventually reaches either F or a state from which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Parosh Aziz Abdulla , Noomene Ben Henda , Richard Mayr

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

Motivated by applications in Markov chain Monte Carlo, we discuss what it means for one Markov chain to be an approximation to another. Specifically included in that discussion are situations in which a Markov chain with continuous state…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Jerrum

A notion of entangled Markov chain was introduced by Accardi and Fidaleo in the context of quantum random walk. They proved that, in the finite dimensional case, the corresponding states have vanishing entropy density, but they did not…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Takayuki Miyadera

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We consider a polymer with configuration modeled by the path of a Markov chain, interacting with a potential $u+V_n$ which the chain encounters when it visits a special state 0 at time $n$. The disorder $(V_n)$ is a fixed realization of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Kenneth S. Alexander , Nikos Zygouras

In many branches of engineering, Banach contraction mapping theorem is employed to establish the convergence of certain deterministic algorithms. Randomized versions of these algorithms have been developed that have proved useful in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Abhishek Gupta , Rahul Jain , Peter Glynn

Parametric Markov chains (pMC) are used to model probabilistic systems with unknown or partially known probabilities. Although (universal) pMC verification for reachability properties is known to be coETR-complete, there have been efforts…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Kasper Engelen , Guillermo A. Pérez , Shrisha Rao

Motivated by Feller's coin-tossing problem, we consider the problem of conditioning an irreducible Markov chain never to wait too long at 0. Denoting by $\tau$ the first time that the chain, $X$, waits for at least one unit of time at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-23 Saul Jacka

For a class of irreducible Markov chains with an infinitely countable set of states, we establish a new verifiable necessary and sufficient condition for recurrence and transience. We show that if one of the basic assumptions is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

In this paper, we present a novel iterative Monte Carlo method for approximating the stationary probability of a single state of a positive recurrent Markov chain. We utilize the characterization that the stationary probability of a state…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-12-11 Christina E. Lee , Asuman Ozdaglar , Devavrat Shah
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