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It is known that the Azema-Yor solution to the Skorokhod embedding problem maximizes the law of the running maximum of an uniformly integrable martingale with given terminal value distribution. Recently this optimality property has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Nikolay Lysenko

In this paper, selection of an active sensor subset for tracking a discrete time, finite state Markov chain having an unknown transition probability matrix (TPM) is considered. A total of N sensors are available for making observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Mrigank Raman , Ojal Kumar , Arpan Chattopadhyay

Path decomposition is performed to characterize the law of the pre/post-supremum, post-infimum and the intermediate processes of a spectrally negative Levy process taken up to an independent exponential time T: As a result, mainly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 C. Vardar-Acar , M. Caglar , F. Avram

We establish integral tests and laws of the iterated logarithm at 0 and at $+\infty$, for the upper envelope of positive self-similar Markov processes. Our arguments are based on the Lamperti representation, time reversal arguments and on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Juan Carlos Pardo Millan

The time evolution of complex systems usually can be described through stochastic processes. These processes are measured at finite resolution, what necessarily reduces them to finite sequences of real numbers. In order to relate these data…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 D. M. Tavares , L. S. Lucena

This paper deals with a consistent estimator of the multifunction involved in a time-discretized Skorokhod reflection problem defined by a stochastic differential equation and a Moreau sweeping process.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Nicolas Marie

We study a first passage time of a L\'evy process over a positive constant level. In the spectrally negative case we give conditions for absolutely continuity of the distributions of the first passage times. The tail asymptotics of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shunsuke Kaji , Muneya Matsui

We consider sensor scheduling as the optimal observability problem for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDP). This model fits to the cases where a Markov process is observed by a single sensor which needs to be dynamically…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Mohammad Rezaeian

This paper attempts to study the optimal stopping time for semi-Markov processes (SMPs) under the discount optimization criteria with unbounded cost rates. In our work, we introduce an explicit construction of the equivalent semi-Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Fang Chen , Xianping Guo , Zhong-Wei Liao

In this article, we consider a generalisation of the Skorokhod embedding problem (SEP) with a delayed starting time. In the delayed SEP, we look for stopping times which embed a given measure in a stochastic process, which occur after a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Alexander M. G. Cox , Annemarie M. Grass

This work introduces the extended Skorokhod problem (ESP) and associated extended Skorokhod map (ESM) that enable a pathwise construction of reflected diffusions that are not necessarily semimartingales. Roughly speaking, given the closure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 K. Ramanan

This paper studies the optimal multiple-stopping problem arising in the context of the timing option to withdraw from a project in stages. The profits are driven by a general spectrally negative Levy process. This allows the model to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Recent work of Dupire and Carr and Lee has highlighted the importance of understanding the Skorokhod embedding originally proposed by Root for the model-independent hedging of variance options. Root's work shows that there exists a barrier…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-13 Alexander M. G. Cox , Jiajie Wang

Given a stable L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}$ of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ with no negative jumps, and letting $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}X_s$ denote its running supremum for $t\in [0,T]$, we consider the optimal prediction problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Violetta Bernyk , Robert C. Dalang , Goran Peskir

In this paper, we solve exit problems for a level-dependent L\'evy process which is exponentially killed with a killing intensity that depends on the present state of the process. Moreover, we analyse the respective resolvents. All…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Zbigniew Palmowski , Meral Şimşek , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

The supercooled Stefan problem and its variants describe the freezing of a supercooled liquid in physics, as well as the large system limits of systemic risk models in finance and of integrate-and-fire models in neuroscience. Adopting the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Vadim Kaushansky , Christoph Reisinger , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , Zhuo Qun Song

We consider the spectrally negative Levy processes and determine the joint laws for the quantities such as the first and last passage times over a fixed level, the overshoots and undershoots at first passage, the minimum, the maximum and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Chuancun Yin , Kam Chuen Yuen

We prove a strong duality result for a linear programming problem which has the interpretation of being a discretised optimal Skorokhod embedding problem, and we recover this continuous time problem as a limit of the discrete problems. With…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sam M. Kinsley

We show that the minimax sample complexity for estimating the pseudo-spectral gap $\gamma_{\mathsf{ps}}$ of an ergodic Markov chain in constant multiplicative error is of the order of $$\tilde{\Theta}\left( \frac{1}{\gamma_{\mathsf{ps}}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

Filtration, flow in narrow channels and traffic flow are examples of processes subject to blocking when the channel conveying the particles becomes too crowded. If the blockage is temporary, which means that after a finite time the channel…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 G. Page , J. Resing , P. Viot , J. Talbot