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We give two examples of periodic Gaussian processes, having entropy numbers of exactly same order but radically different small deviations. Our construction is based on classical Knopp's result yielding of existence of continuous nowhere…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michel Weber

Suppose $ E$ is a space with a null-recurrent Markov kernel $ P$. Furthermore, suppose there are infinite particles with variable weights on $ E$ performing a random walk following $ P$. Let $ X_{t}$ be a weighted functional of the position…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Souvik Ghosh

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

In this short note we study the asymptotic behaviour of the minima over compact intervals of Gaussian processes, whose paths are not necessarily smooth. We show that, beyond the logarithmic large deviation Gaussian estimates, this problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Zhixin Wu , Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this paper, we prove a central limit theorem and estabilish a moderate deviation principle for stochastic models of incompressible second fluids. The weak convergence method inreoduced by [4] plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang , Wuting Zheng

Near equilibrium, small current fluctuations are described by a Gaussian with a linear-response variance regulated by the dissipation. Here, we demonstrate that dissipation still plays a dominant role in structuring large fluctuations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-30 Todd R. Gingrich , Jordan M. Horowitz , Nikolay Perunov , Jeremy England

Gaussian processes constitute a very powerful and well-understood method for non-parametric regression and classification. In the classical framework, the training data consists of deterministic vector-valued inputs and the corresponding…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The term \emph{moderate deviations} is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Jeonghwa Lee , Claudio Macci

We prove a functional central limit theorem for partial sums of symmetric stationary long range dependent heavy tailed infinitely divisible processes with a certain type of negative dependence. Previously only positive dependence could be…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Paul Jung , Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The sub-linear expectation or called G-expectation is a nonlinear expectation having advantage of modeling non-additive probability problems and the volatility uncertainty in finance. Let $\{X_n;n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Li-Xin Zhang

In this paper, we study central and non-central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary Gaussian fields. We apply our result to study drift parameter estimation problems for some stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We revisit a result of Mittal--Ylvisaker that states that the rescaled maximum of a stationary sequence of Gaussian random variables has a Gaussian limit if correlations decay sufficiently slowly. Taking a new approach we relax the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Jason Li , Stephen Muirhead

We characterize the sample size required for accurate graphical model selection from non-stationary samples. The observed data is modeled as a vector-valued zero-mean Gaussian random process whose samples are uncorrelated but have different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Nguyen Q. Tran , Oleksii Abramenko , Alexander Jung

We prove that moderate deviations for empirical measures for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains hold under the assumption of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains in Ces\`aro…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

Consider the stochastic differential equation in $\rr^d$ dX^{\e}_t&=b(X^{\e}_t)dt+\sqrt{\e}\sigma(X^\e_t)dB_t X^{\e}_0&=x_0,\quad x_0\in\rr^d$ where $b:\rr^d\to\rr^d$ is $C^1$ such that $<x,b(x)> \leq C(1+|x|^2)$, $\sigma:\rr^d\to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yutao ma , Ran Wang , Liming Wu

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka

This paper presents an approach for constrained Gaussian Process (GP) regression where we assume that a set of linear transformations of the process are bounded. It is motivated by machine learning applications for high-consequence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Christian Agrell