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In this article we consider the development of unbiased estimators of the Hessian, of the log-likelihood function with respect to parameters, for partially observed diffusion processes. These processes arise in numerous applications, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

The problem of estimating interacting systems of multiple objects is important to a number of different fields of mathematics, physics, and engineering. Drawing from a range of disciplines, including statistical physics, variational…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-07 Daniel E. Clark , Jeremie Houssineau

In the present paper, we consider that $N$ diffusion processes $X^1,\dots,X^N$ are observed on $[0,T]$, where $T$ is fixed and $N$ grows to infinity. Contrary to most of the recent works, we no longer assume that the processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We prove It{\^o}'s formula for the flow of measures associated with a jump process defined by a drift, an integral with respect to a Poisson random measure and with respect to the associated compensated Poisson random measure. We work in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Thomas Cavallazzi

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

In June 2012 on a conference in Bielefeld, after the author made the presentation of his theory of nonlinear Markov processes, Tom Kurtz asked him whether his methods would allow to get well-posedness for nonlinear McKean-Vlasov type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov

The Fleming-Viot particle system consists of $N$ identical particles diffusing in a domain $U \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. Whenever a particle hits the boundary $\partial U$, that particle jumps onto another particle in the interior. It is known…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Oliver Tough , James Nolen

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

Diffusion is a fundamental physical phenomenon with critical applications in fields such as metallurgy, cell biology, and population dynamics. While standard diffusion is well-understood, anomalous diffusion often requires complex non-local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-16 Gabriel Barreiro , Vladimir Pérez-Veloz

We establish an existence result of a solution to a class of probability measure-valued equations, whose solutions can be associated with stationary distributions of many McKean-Vlasov diffusions with gradient-type drifts. Coefficients of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Shao-Qin Zhang

Let $(X_t)$ be a reflected diffusion process in a bounded convex domain in $\mathbb R^d$, solving the stochastic differential equation $$dX_t = \nabla f(X_t) dt + \sqrt{2f (X_t)} dW_t, ~t \ge 0,$$ with $W_t$ a $d$-dimensional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Richard Nickl

A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich , A. Nawroth , J. Peinke

The literature on Bayesian methods for the analysis of discrete-time semi-Markov processes is sparse. In this paper, we introduce the semi-Markov beta-Stacy process, a stochastic process useful for the Bayesian non-parametric analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Andrea Arfè , Stefano Peluso , Pietro Muliere

The crossover among two or more types of diffusive processes represents a vibrant theme in nonequilibrium statistical physics. In this work we propose two models to generate crossovers among different L\'evy processes: in the first model we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-15 Maike A. F. dos Santos , Fernando D. Nobre , Evaldo M. F. Curado

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We present a generalized integral fluctuation theorem (GIFT) for general diffusion processes using the Feynman-Kac and Cameron-Martin-Girsanov formulas. Existing IFTs can be thought of to be its specific cases. We interpret the origin of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Fei Liu , Zhong-can Ou-Yang

We investigate the moment estimation for an ergodic diffusion process with unknown trend coefficient. We consider nonparametric and parametric estimation. In each case, we present a lower bound for the risk and then construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Yury A. Kutoyants , Nakahiro Yoshida

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a diffusion with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a set-valued function. We establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-04 David Criens , Lars Niemann

We present the idea of intertwining of two diffusions by Feynman-Kac operators. We present some variations and implications of the method and give examples of its applications. Among others, it turns out to be a very useful tool for finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Maciej Wiśniewolski , Jacek Jakubowski
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