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We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

This study investigates the complex dynamic interactions between two typed populations coexisting within a shared space. We propose both theoretical and numerical study to analyze scenarios where one population (population $1$) must…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Mariam Al Khatib , Said Gounane , Noureddine Igbida , Ghadir Jradi

A wide range of stochastic processes that model the growth and decline of populations exhibit a curious dichotomy: with certainty either the population goes extinct or its size tends to infinity. There is a elegant and classical theorem…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-17 Mike Steel

The Drake equation pertains to the essentially equilibrium situation in a population of communicative civilizations (CCs) of the Galaxy, but it does not describe dynamical processes which can occur in it. Both linear and non-linear…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-24 A. D. Panov

A discrete-time version of the replicator equation for two-strategy games is studied. The stationary properties differ from that of continuous time for sufficiently large values of the parameters, where periodic and chaotic behavior replace…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-07-14 Daniele Vilone , Alberto Robledo , Angel Sánchez

Motivated by issues arising in population dynamics, we consider the problem of iterating a given analytic function a number of times. We use the celebrated technique known as Carleman linearization that turns (for a certain class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-10-20 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

Personalized decision making targets the behavior of a specific individual, while population-based decision making concerns a sub-population resembling that individual. This paper clarifies the distinction between the two and explains why…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Scott Mueller , Judea Pearl

This paper is to show that most discrete models used for population dynamics in ecology are inherently pathological that their predications cannot be independently verified by experiments because they violate a fundamental principle of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Bo Deng

The logistic equation is ubiquitous in applied mathematics as a minimal model of saturating growth. Here, we examine a broad generalisation of the logistic growth model to discretely structured populations, motivated by examples that range…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-15 Benjamin J. Walker , Helen M. Byrne

People often engage in costly cooperation, especially in repeated interactions. When deciding whether to cooperate, individuals typically take into account how others have acted in the past. For instance, when one person is deciding whether…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-07 Saptarshi Pal , Christian Hilbe , Nikoleta E Glynatsi

We consider a trait-structured population subject to mutation, birth and competition of logistic type, where the number of coexisting types may fluctuate. Applying a limit of rare mutations to this population while keeping the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

A discrete model of traffic on a multilane road is considered. The traffic is presented as particles movement with a deterministic component and a stochastic one. Formulas for the traffic characteristics have been found. The model can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 A. P. Buslaev , V. M. Prikhodko , A. G. Tatashev , M. V. Yashina

Networks observed in real world like social networks, collaboration networks etc., exhibit temporal dynamics, i.e. nodes and edges appear and/or disappear over time. In this paper, we propose a generative, latent space based, statistical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shubham Gupta , Gaurav Sharma , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Phenotypically structured equations arise in population biology to describe the interaction of species with their environment that brings the nutrients. This interaction usually leads to selection of the fittest individuals. Models used in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Alexander Lorz , Benoit Perthame

Lattice-based random walk models are widely used to study populations of migrating cells with motility bias and proliferation. Crowding is typically represented by volume exclusion, where each lattice site can be occupied by at most one…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-28 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson

We study the multi-task learning problem that aims to simultaneously analyze multiple datasets collected from different sources and learn one model for each of them. We propose a family of adaptive methods that automatically utilize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-19 Yaqi Duan , Kaizheng Wang

Iterative imputation, in which variables are imputed one at a time each given a model predicting from all the others, is a popular technique that can be convenient and flexible, as it replaces a potentially difficult multivariate modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Jingchen Liu , Andrew Gelman , Jennifer Hill , Yu-Sung Su

Increasing pressures on the environment are generating an ever-increasing need to manage animal and plant populations sustainably, and to protect and rebuild endangered populations. Effective management requires reliable mathematical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Stephen T. Buckland , Ken B. Newman , Carmen Fernández , Len Thomas , John Harwood

We introduce a mathematical model of symbiosis between different species by taking into account the influence of each species on the carrying capacities of the others. The modeled entities can pertain to biological and ecological societies…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-06-06 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

Populations evolving under the joint influence of recombination and resampling (traditionally known as genetic drift) are investigated. First, we summarise and adapt a deterministic approach, as valid for infinite populations, which assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-20 Ellen Baake , Inke Herms
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