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We show by a surprisingly simple argument that the exchangeability condition, which is key to the exchangeable pair approach in Stein's method for distributional approximation, can be omitted in many standard settings. This is achieved by…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Adrian Röllin

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

We present an adaptation of Stein's method of normal approximation to the study of both discrete- and continuous-time dynamical systems. We obtain new correlation-decay conditions on dynamical systems for a multivariate central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-12 Olli Hella , Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

Filtering algorithms are fundamental for inference on partially observed stochastic dynamic systems, since they provide access to the likelihood function and hence enable likelihood-based or Bayesian inference. A novel Poisson approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Yize Hao , Aaron A. Abkemeier , Edward L. Ionides

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

New lower bounds on the total variation distance between the distribution of a sum of independent Bernoulli random variables and the Poisson random variable (with the same mean) are derived via the Chen-Stein method. The new bounds rely on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-07-17 Igal Sason

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In this paper, we revisit the original ideas of Stein and propose an estimator of the intensity parameter of a homogeneous Poisson point process defined in $\R^d$ and observed in a bounded window. The procedure is based on a new general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Marianne Clausel , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jérôme Lelong

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

Consider the point process (in $\mathbb{R}^d$) of local maxima of smooth Gaussian fields, with sufficient decay of correlation at infinity, above a level $u$. We show that this point process, rescaled appropriately, converges weakly to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Dmitry Beliaev , Akshay Hegde

Following the pivotal work of Sevastyanov, who considered branching processes with homogeneous Poisson immigration, much has been done to understand the behaviour of such processes under different types of branching and immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Martin Minchev , Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova

Project a collection of points on the high-dimensional sphere onto a random direction. If most of the points are sufficiently far from one another in an appropriate sense, the projection is locally close in distribution to the Poisson point…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-27 Itai Benjamini , Oded Schramm , Sasha Sodin

Given a homogeneous Poisson process on ${\mathbb{R}}^d$ with intensity $\lambda$, we prove that it is possible to partition the points into two sets, as a deterministic function of the process, and in an isometry-equivariant way, so that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-09 Alexander E. Holroyd , Russell Lyons , Terry Soo

The Poisson process is the most elementary continuous-time stochastic process that models a stream of repeating events. It is uniquely characterised by a single parameter called the rate. Instead of a single value for this rate, we here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

The simple L\'evy Poisson process and scaled forms are explicitly constructed from partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables and from sums of non-stationary independent random variables. For the latter, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Aladji Babacar Niang , Gane Samb Lo , Chérif Mamadou Moctar Traoré , Amadou Ball

One of the main differences between the central limit theorem and the Poisson law of small numbers is that the former possesses the large sample property (LSP), i.e., the error of normal approximation to the sum of $n$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

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