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Standard methods, such as sequential procedures based on Johansen's (pseudo-)likelihood ratio (PLR) test, for determining the co-integration rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) system of variables integrated of order one can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Luca De Angelis , A. M. Robert Taylor

Integrating the outputs of multiple classifiers via combiners or meta-learners has led to substantial improvements in several difficult pattern recognition problems. In the typical setting investigated till now, each classifier is trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kagan Tumer , Joydeep Ghosh

The selection of essential variables in logistic regression is vital because of its extensive use in medical studies, finance, economics and related fields. In this paper, we explore four main typologies (test-based, penalty-based,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Souvik Bag , Kapil Gupta , Soudeep Deb

We consider the problem of choosing the optimal (in the sense of mean-squared prediction error) multistep predictor for an autoregressive (AR) process of finite but unknown order. If a working AR model (which is possibly misspecified) is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ching-Kang Ing

Consider a regression or some regression-type model for a certain response variable where the linear predictor includes an ordered factor among the explanatory variables. The inclusion of a factor of this type can take place is a few…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Adelchi Azzalini

The forward order assumption postulates that the ranking process of the items is carried out by sequentially assigning the positions from the top (most-liked) to the bottom (least-liked) alternative. This assumption has been recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Cristina Mollica , Luca Tardella

This paper is dedicated to a robust ordinal method for learning the preferences of a decision maker between subsets. The decision model, derived from Fishburn and LaValle (1996) and whose parameters we learn, is general enough to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Hugo Gilbert , Mohamed Ouaguenouni , Meltem Ozturk , Olivier Spanjaard

We present a general approach for studying autoregressive categorical time series models with dependence of infinite order and defined conditional on an exogenous covariate process. To this end, we adapt a coupling approach, developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Lionel Truquet

We develop a new statistical model to analyse time-varying ranking data. The model can be used with a large number of ranked items, accommodates exogenous time-varying covariates and partial rankings, and is estimated via the maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-23 Vladimír Holý , Jan Zouhar

We study general nonlinear models for time series networks of integer and continuous valued data. The vector of high dimensional responses, measured on the nodes of a known network, is regressed non-linearly on its lagged value and on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Mirko Armillotta , Konstantinos Fokianos

Statistical shape models enhance machine learning algorithms providing prior information about deformation. A Point Distribution Model (PDM) is a popular landmark-based statistical shape model for segmentation. It requires choosing a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Alma Eguizabal , Peter J. Schreier , David Ramírez

Autoregressive models are a class of generative model that probabilistically predict the next output of a sequence based on previous inputs. The autoregressive sequence is by definition one-dimensional (1D), which is natural for language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Yi Hong Teoh , Roger G. Melko

Tag recommendation relies on either a ranking function for top-$k$ tags or an autoregressive generation method. However, the previous methods neglect one of two seemingly conflicting yet desirable characteristics of a tag set: orderlessness…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Junmo Kang , Jeonghwan Kim , Suwon Shin , Sung-Hyon Myaeng

Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

Most of the stochastic orders for comparing random variables, considered in the literature, are afflicted with two main drawbacks: (i) lack of connex property and (ii) lack of consideration of any dependence structure between the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-03 Sugata Ghosh , Asok K. Nanda

Autoregressive models enable tractable sampling from learned probability distributions, but their performance critically depends on the variable ordering used in the factorization via complexities of the resulting conditional distributions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Shiba Biswal , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

When proving theorems from large sets of logical assertions, it can be helpful to restrict the search for a proof to those assertions that are relevant, that is, closely related to the theorem in some sense. For example, in the Watson…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-05-23 David A. Plaisted

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Providing diagnostic feedback about growth is crucial to formative decisions such as targeted remedial instructions or interventions. This paper proposed a longitudinal higher-order diagnostic classification modeling approach for measuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Peida Zhan , Hong Jiao , Dandan Liao

We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov