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In this paper we study a class of stochastic individual-based models that describe the evolution of haploid populations where each individual is characterised by a phenotype and a genotype. The phenotype of an individual determines its…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Martina Baar , Anton Bovier

The coalescent is a stochastic process representing ancestral lineages in a population undergoing neutral genetic drift. Originally defined for a well-mixed population, the coalescent has been adapted in various ways to accommodate spatial,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-02 Benjamin Allen , Alex McAvoy

The goal of this paper is to study the lookdown model with selection in the case of a population containing two types of individuals, with a reproduction model which is dual to the $\Lambda$-coalescent. In particular we formulate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Boubacar Bah , Etienne Pardoux

We show that each member of a broad class of Markovian population models induces a unique stochastic process on the space of genealogies. We construct this genealogy process and derive exact expressions for the likelihood of an observed…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Aaron A. King , Qianying Lin , Edward L. Ionides

Consider a population where individuals give birth at constant rate during their lifetimes to i.i.d. copies of themselves. Individuals bear clonally inherited types, but (neutral) mutations may happen at the birth events. The smallest…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-29 Cécile Delaporte

Consider a multitype coalescent process in which each block has a colour in $\{1,\ldots,d\}$. Individual blocks may change colour, and some number of blocks of various colours may merge to form a new block of some colour. We show that if…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Samuel G. G. Johnston , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Tim Rogers

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

We define a Markov process on the partitions of $[n]=\{1,\ldots,n\}$ by drawing a sample in $[n]$ at each time of a Poisson process, by merging blocks that contain one of these points and by leaving all other blocks unchanged. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Sophie Lemaire

Conditional sampling distributions (CSDs), sometimes referred to as copying models, underlie numerous practical tools in population genomic analyses. Though an important application that has received much attention is the inference of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-20 Matthias Steinrücken , Joshua S. Paul , Yun S. Song

When an advantageous mutation occurs in a population, the favorable allele may spread to the entire population in a short time, an event known as a selective sweep. As a result, when we sample $n$ individuals from a population and trace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rick Durrett , Jason Schweinsberg

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

We consider a class of density-dependent branching processes which generalises exponential, logistic and Gompertz growth. A population begins with a single individual, grows exponentially initially, and then growth may slow down as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-11 David Cheek

Two sequentially Markov coalescent models (SMC and SMC') are available as tractable approximations to the ancestral recombination graph (ARG). We present a Markov process describing coalescence at two fixed points along a pair of sequences…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-06 Peter R. Wilton , Shai Carmi , Asger Hobolth

Kingman's coalescent is one of the most popular models in population genetics. It describes the genealogy of a population whose genetic composition evolves in time according to the Wright-Fisher model, or suitable approximations of it…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-20 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Paul A. Jenkins

We define and study a family of Markov processes with state space the compact set of all partitions of N that we call exchangeable fragmentation-coalescence processes. They can be viewed as a combination of exchangeable fragmentation as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Julien Berestycki

We introduce a general diploid population model with self-fertilization and possible overlapping generations, and study the genealogy of a sample of $n$ genes as the population size $N$ tends to infinity. Unlike traditional approach in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Louis Wai-Tong Fan , Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley

Birkner et al. obtained necessary and sufficient conditions for the frequency between two independent and identically distributed continuous-state branching processes time-changed by a functional of the total mass process to be a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Adrián González Casanova , Imanol Nuñez , J. -L. Pérez

Genetic recombination is one of the most important mechanisms that can generate and maintain diversity, and recombination information plays an important role in population genetic studies. However, the phenomenon of recombination is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Xian Chen , Zhi-Ming Ma , Ying Wang

We show that genealogical trees arising from a broad class of non-neutral models of population evolution converge to the Kingman coalescent under a suitable rescaling of time. As well as non-neutral biological evolution, our results apply…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Adam M. Johansen , Dario Spano

Identifiability of evolutionary tree models has been a recent topic of discussion and some models have been shown to be non-identifiable. A coalescent-based rooted population tree model, originally proposed by Nielsen et al. 1998 [2], has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-15 Arindam RoyChoudhury