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Estimating the mode of a unimodal distribution is a classical problem in statistics. Although there are several approaches for point-estimation of mode in the literature, very little has been explored about the interval-estimation of mode.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In high energy physics, a widely used method to treat systematic uncertainties in confidence interval calculations is based on combining a frequentist construction of confidence belts with a Bayesian treatment of systematic uncertainties.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Fredrik Tegenfeldt , Jan Conrad

Using an inverse of the standard linear congruential random number generator, large randomly occupied lattices can be visited by a random walker without having to determine the occupation status of every lattice site in advance. In seven…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Dirk Osterkamp , Dietrich Stauffer , Amnon Aharony

Probabilistic regression models typically use the Maximum Likelihood Estimation or Cross-Validation to fit parameters. These methods can give an advantage to the solutions that fit observations on average, but they do not pay attention to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-24 Naoufal Acharki , Antoine Bertoncello , Josselin Garnier

Well-recommended methods of forming `confidence intervals' for a binomial proportion give interval estimates that do not actually meet the definition of a confidence interval, in that their coverages are sometimes lower than the nominal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Paul H. Garthwaite , Maha W. Moustafa , Fadlalla G. Elfadaly

Extensive Monte-Carlo simulations were performed in order to determine the precise values of the critical thresholds for site ($p^{hcp}_{c,S} = 0.199 255 5 \pm 0.000 001 0$) and bond ($p^{hcp}_{c,B} = 0.120 164 0 \pm 0.000 001 0$)…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Christian D. Lorenz , Raechelle May , Robert M. Ziff

Introduction: estimation of confidence intervals (CIs) of binomial proportions has been reviewed more than once but the directional interpretation, distinguishing the overestimation from the underestimation, was neglected while the sample…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-03-22 André Gillibert , Jacques Bénichou , Bruno Falissard

We consider the problem of interval estimation of the odds ratio. An asymptotic confidence interval is widely applied in medical research. Unfortunately that confidence interval has a poor coverage probability: it is significantly smaller…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska , Wojciech Zieliński

It is common when using cross-section or panel data to assign each observation to a cluster and allow for arbitrary patterns of heteroskedasticity and correlation within clusters. For regression models, there are many ways to make…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-03 James G. MacKinnon

Standard confidence intervals employed in applied statistical analysis are usually based on asymptotic approximations. Such approximations can be considerably inaccurate in small and moderate sized samples. We derive accurate confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Eliane C. Pinheiro , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco M. C. Medeiros

We obtain confidence intervals for the location of the percolation phase transition in H\"aggstr\"om's divide and color model on the square lattice $\mathbb{Z}^2$ and the hexagonal lattice $\mathbb{H}$. The resulting probabilistic bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-11 András Bálint , Vincent Beffara , Vincent Tassion

We investigate variations of the well-known Achlioptas percolation problem, which uses the method of probing sites when building up a lattice system, or probing links when building a network, ultimately resulting in the delay of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-11-17 Paraskevas Giazitzidis , Isak Avramov , Panos Argyrakis

This paper proposes a decorrelation-based approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for the low dimensional component of high dimensional proportional hazards models. Motivated by the geometric projection principle, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-17 Ethan X. Fang , Yang Ning , Han Liu

The age of big data has produced data sets that are computationally expensive to analyze and store. Algorithmic leveraging proposes that we sample observations from the original data set to generate a representative data set and then…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-13 Katelyn Gao

We consider a linear regression model, with the parameter of interest a specified linear combination of the regression parameter vector. We suppose that, as a first step, a data-based model selection (e.g. by preliminary hypothesis tests or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

In a recent article, Galam and Mauger proposed an invariant for site and bond percolation thresholds, based on known values for twenty lattices (Eur. Phys. J. B 1 (1998) 255-258). Here we give a larger list of values for more than forty…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Steven C. van der Marck

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a powerful method for carrying out Bayesian inference when the likelihood is computationally intractable. However, a drawback of ABC is that it is an approximate method that induces a systematic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Minh Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

We present a new Monte Carlo algorithm for studying site or bond percolation on any lattice. The algorithm allows us to calculate quantities such as the cluster size distribution or spanning probability over the entire range of site or bond…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. E. J. Newman , R. M. Ziff

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad