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Continuous treatments (e.g., doses) arise often in practice, but many available causal effect estimators are limited by either requiring parametric models for the effect curve, or by not allowing doubly robust covariate adjustment. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 Edward H. Kennedy , Zongming Ma , Matthew D. McHugh , Dylan S. Small

Nonparametric kernel density and local polynomial regression estimators are very popular in Statistics, Economics, and many other disciplines. They are routinely employed in applied work, either as part of the main empirical analysis or as…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

Testing the equality of two conditional distributions is crucial in various modern applications, including transfer learning and causal inference. Despite its importance, this fundamental problem has received surprisingly little attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Jian Yan , Zhuoxi Li , Xianyang Zhang

In kernel methods, the median heuristic has been widely used as a way of setting the bandwidth of RBF kernels. While its empirical performances make it a safe choice under many circumstances, there is little theoretical understanding of why…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Damien Garreau , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Motonobu Kanagawa

Diffusion Maps framework is a kernel based method for manifold learning and data analysis that defines diffusion similarities by imposing a Markovian process on the given dataset. Analysis by this process uncovers the intrinsic geometric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-20 Moshe Salhov , Amit Bermanis , Guy Wolf , Amir Averbuch

We introduce a nonparametric way to estimate the global probability density function for a random persistence diagram. Precisely, a kernel density function centered at a given persistence diagram and a given bandwidth is constructed. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Joshua Lee Mike , Vasileios Maroulas

We discuss properties of two methods for ascribing probabilities to the shape of a probability distribution. One is based on the idea of counting the number of modes of a bootstrap version of a standard kernel density estimator. We argue…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Hong Ooi

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

This paper discusses the local linear smoothing to estimate the unknown first and second infinitesimal moments in second-order jump-diffusion model based on Gamma asymmetric kernels. Under the mild conditions, we obtain the weak consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Yuping Song , Hanchao Wang

In this paper we suggest two statistical hypothesis tests for the regression function of binary classification based on conditional kernel mean embeddings. The regression function is a fundamental object in classification as it determines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

We present a general scheme to calculate within the independent interval approximation generalized (level-dependent) persistence properties for processes having a finite density of zero-crossings. Our results are especially relevant for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ivan Dornic , Anaël Lemaître , Andrea Baldassarri , Hugues Chaté

We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic depends on a spectral transformation that weights exceedance events by a function of the modeled probability level. The weighting scheme is specified by a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Michael B. Gordy , Alexander J. McNeil

In the context of kernel density estimation, we give a characterization of the kernels for which the parametric mean integrated squared error rate $n^{-1}$ may be obtained, where $n$ is the sample size. Also, for the cases where this rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 J. E. Chacón , J. Montanero , A. G. Nogales

We compute the distribution of likelihoods from the non-parametric iterative smoothing method over a set of mock Pantheon-like type Ia supernova datasets. We use this likelihood distribution to test whether typical dark energy models are…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-17 Hanwool Koo , Arman Shafieloo , Ryan E. Keeley , Benjamin L'Huillier

We address the issue of lack-of-fit testing for a parametric quantile regression. We propose a simple test that involves one-dimensional kernel smoothing, so that the rate at which it detects local alternatives is independent of the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-13 Samuel Maistre , Pascal Lavergne , Valentin Patilea

In this paper we propose the use of $\phi$-divergences as test statistics to verify simple hypotheses about a one-dimensional parametric diffusion process $\de X_t = b(X_t, \theta)\de t + \sigma(X_t, \theta)\de W_t$, from discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano Iacus

Diffusion models now set the benchmark in high-fidelity generative sampling, yet they can, in principle, be prone to memorization. In this case, their learned score overfits the finite dataset so that the reverse-time SDE samples are mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Franck Gabriel , François Ged , Maria Han Veiga , Emmanuel Schertzer

One of the most important issues in the critical assessment of spatio-temporal stochastic models for epidemics is the selection of the transmission kernel used to represent the relationship between infectious challenge and spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-06 David Thong , George Streftaris , Gavin J. Gibson

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

Score-based diffusion models have achieved remarkable empirical success in generating high-quality samples from target data distributions. Among them, the Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) is one of the most widely used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Yuchen Jiao , Yuchen Zhou , Gen Li