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Understanding rare events is critical across domains ranging from signal processing to reliability and structural safety, extreme-weather forecasting, and insurance. The analysis of rare events is a computationally challenging problem,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Anya Katsevich , Alexander Katsevich

A central problem in uncertainty quantification is how to characterize the impact that our incomplete knowledge about models has on the predictions we make from them. This question naturally lends itself to a probabilistic formulation, by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-03 Giovanni Dematteis , Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

In Econometrics, imposing restrictions without assuming underlying distributions to modelize complex realities is a valuable methodological tool. However, if a subset of restrictions were not correctly specified, the usual test-statistics…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-29 Angel Felipe , Nirian Martín , Pedro Miranda , Leandro Pardo

Testing the equality of the covariance matrices of two high-dimensional samples is a fundamental inference problem in statistics. Several tests have been proposed but they are either too liberal or too conservative when the required…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Jin-Ting Zhang , Jingyi Wang , Tianming Zhu

This paper studies the problem of testing the null assumption of no-change in the mean of chronologically ordered independent observations on a random variable $X$ {\it versus} the at most one change in the mean alternative hypothesis. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Miklos Csorgo , Zhishui Hu

We investigate covariance shrinkage for Hotelling's $T^2$ in the regime where the data dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$ grow in a fixed ratio -- without assuming that the population covariance matrix is spiked or well-conditioned. When…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Benjamin D. Robinson , Van Latimer

We consider Schr\"odinger operator with random decaying potential on $\ell^2 ({\bf Z}^d)$ and showed that, (i) IDS coincides with that of free Laplacian in general cases, and (ii) the set of extremal eigenvalues, after rescaling, converges…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-03-08 Kaito Kawaai , Yugo Maruyama , Fumihiko Nakano

Wald-type tests are convenient because they allow one to test a wide array of linear and nonlinear restrictions from a single unrestricted estimator; we focus on the problem of implementing Wald-type tests for nonlinear restrictions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Jean-Marie Dufour , Eric Renault , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

Meta-analysis seeks to combine the results of several experiments in order to improve the accuracy of decisions. It is common to use a test for homogeneity to determine if the results of the several experiments are sufficiently similar to…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-08-01 Elena Kulinskaya , Michael B. Dollinger , Kirsten Bjørkestøl

Given a discrete-valued sample $X_1,...,X_n$ we wish to decide whether it was generated by a distribution belonging to a family $H_0$, or it was generated by a distribution belonging to a family $H_1$. In this work we assume that all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Daniil Ryabko

We consider the problem of finding, for a given quadratic measure of non-uniformity of a set of $N$ points (such as $L_2$ star-discrepancy or diaphony), the asymptotic distribution of this discrepancy for truly random points in the limit…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 Andre van Hameren , Ronald Kleiss , Jiri Hoogland

A unified framework is proposed for tests of unobserved heterogeneity in parametric statistic models based on Neyman's $C(\alpha)$ approach. Such tests are irregular in the sense that the first order derivative of the log likelihood with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Jiaying Gu

We prove weak convergence in a separable Hilbert space for estimators of high-dimensional regression coefficients, which yields asymptotic normality and enables direct use of standard asymptotic tools such as the continuous mapping theorem.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Kou Fujimori , Koji Tsukuda

In order to characterize the fluctuation between the ergodic limit and the time-averaging estimator of a full discretization in a quantitative way, we establish a central limit theorem for the full discretization of the parabolic stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Tau Zhou

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

We study the distribution of a general class of asymptoticallylinear statistics which are symmetric functions of $N$ independent observations. The distribution functions of these statistics are approximated by an Edgeworth expansion with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Friedrich Götze , Mindaugas Bloznelis

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We investigate a generalized empirical likelihood approach in a two-group setting where the constraints on parameters have a form of U-statistics. In this situation, the summands that consist of the constraints for the empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-04 Jihnhee Yu , Luge Yang , Albert Vexler , Alan D. Hutson

This paper considers the estimation of Shannon entropy for discrete distributions with countably infinite support. While minimax rates for finite-support distributions are established, infinite-support distributions present distinct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Octavio César Mesner

We study the irregularities of distribution on two-point homogeneous spaces. Our main result is the following: let $d$ be the real dimension of a two point homogeneous space $\mathcal{M}$, let $\left( \{ a_{j}\} _{j=1}^{N},\{ x_{j}\}…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Luca Brandolini , Bianca Gariboldi , Giacomo Gigante