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This paper investigates the mean square error optimal estimation of scale invariant Wigner spectrum for the class of Gaussian locally self-similar processes, by the multitaper method. In this method, the spectrum is estimated as a weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Yasaman Maleki

In a task where many similar inverse problems must be solved, evaluating costly simulations is impractical. Therefore, replacing the model $y$ with a surrogate model $y_s$ that can be evaluated quickly leads to a significant speedup. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

In this study, we consider a remote estimation system that estimates a time-varying target based on sensor data transmitted over wireless channel. Due to transmission errors, some data packets fail to reach the receiver. To mitigate this,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-07 Sirin Chakraborty , Yin Sun

Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

Distributed minimax estimation and distributed adaptive estimation under communication constraints for Gaussian sequence model and white noise model are studied. The minimax rate of convergence for distributed estimation over a given Besov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 T. Tony Cai , Hongji Wei

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

Accurate tuning of hyperparameters is crucial to ensure that models can generalise effectively across different settings. In this paper, we present theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter selection using variational Bayes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabó

We look into the minimax results for the anisotropic two-dimensional functional deconvolution model with the two-parameter fractional Gaussian noise. We derive the lower bounds for the $L^p$-risk, $1 \leq p < \infty$, and taking advantage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Rida Benhaddou , Qing Liu

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

Transfer learning for nonparametric regression is considered. We first study the non-asymptotic minimax risk for this problem and develop a novel estimator called the confidence thresholding estimator, which is shown to achieve the minimax…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-24 T. Tony Cai , Hongming Pu

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

We consider the framework of non-stationary stochastic optimization [Besbes et al, 2015] with squared error losses and noisy gradient feedback where the dynamic regret of an online learner against a time varying comparator sequence is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Dheeraj Baby , Yu-Xiang Wang

We consider the problem of decentralized estimation using wireless sensor networks. Specifically, we propose a novel framework based on level-triggered sampling, a non-uniform sampling strategy, and sequential estimation. The proposed…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-24 Yasin Yilmaz , Xiaodong Wang

In this paper, we study the synthesis of Gegenbauer processes using the wavelet packets transform. In order to simulate a 1-factor Gegenbauer process, we introduce an original algorithm, inspired by the one proposed by Coifman and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jérôme Collet , Jalal Fadili

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

We propose a graph spectrum-based Gaussian process for prediction of signals defined on nodes of the graph. The model is designed to capture various graph signal structures through a highly adaptive kernel that incorporates a flexible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Yin-Cong Zhi , Yin Cheng Ng , Xiaowen Dong

Using function approximation to represent a value function is necessary for continuous and high-dimensional state spaces. Linear function approximation has desirable theoretical guarantees and often requires less compute and samples than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Michael Beukman , Michael Mitchley , Dean Wookey , Steven James , George Konidaris

Time series forecasting requires capturing patterns across multiple temporal scales while maintaining computational efficiency. This paper introduces AWGformer, a novel architecture that integrates adaptive wavelet decomposition with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Wei Li
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