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Motivated by an application in wireless telecommunication networks, we consider a two-type continuum-percolation problem involving a homogeneous Poisson point process of users and a stationary and ergodic point process of base stations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-19 Christian Hirsch

We study discretizations of Hamiltonian systems on the probability density manifold equipped with the $L^2$-Wasserstein metric. Based on discrete optimal transport theory, several Hamiltonian systems on graph (lattice) with different…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Jianbo Cui , Luca Dieci , Haomin Zhou

[B{\l}aszczyszyn, Yogeshwaran and Yukich (2019)] established central limit theorems for geometric statistics of point processes having fast decay dependence. As limit theorems are of limited use unless we understand their errors involved in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

For integer valued random variables, the translated Poisson distributions form a flexible family for approximation in total variation, in much the same way that the normal family is used for approximation in Kolmogorov distance. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 A. D. Barbour , Malwina J. Luczak , Aihua Xia

Poisson processes and one-dimensional Poisson point processes satisfy three main properties: superposition, thinning, and conditioning. The proof of the first two relies on basic estimates involving the Poisson distribution that are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Nicolas Lanchier

We prove that the local eigenvalue statistics for $d=1$ random band matrices with fixed bandwidth and, for example, Gaussian entries, is given by a Poisson point process and we identify the intensity of the process. The proof relies on an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-09-01 Benjamin Brodie , Peter D. Hislop

This paper proposes a novel method to estimate the rate parameter of the Poisson distribution. The proposed method employs the Cramer-von Mises type optimization which has been commonly used in estimating parameters of continuous…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-22 Jiwoong Kim

Particle smoothing methods are used for inference of stochastic processes based on noisy observations. Typically, the estimation of the marginal posterior distribution given all observations is cumbersome and computational intensive. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 H. -Ch. Ruiz , H. J. Kappen

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

In this paper, we investigate a deep learning method for predicting path-dependent processes based on discretely observed historical information. This method is implemented by considering the prediction as a nonparametric regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xudong Zheng , Yuecai Han

Given a sample from a discretely observed compound Poisson process, we consider non-parametric estimation of the density $f_0$ of its jump sizes, as well as of its intensity $\lambda_0.$ We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We discuss species distribution models (SDM) for biodiversity studies in ecology. SDM plays an important role to estimate abundance of a species based on environmental variables that are closely related with the habitat of the species. The…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-01 Osamu Komori , Yusuke Saigusa , Shinto Eguchi

Gradients have been exploited in proposal distributions to accelerate the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms on discrete distributions. However, these methods require a natural differentiable extension of the target discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Yue Xiang , Dongyao Zhu , Bowen Lei , Dongkuan Xu , Ruqi Zhang

We obtain upper bounds for the total variation distance between the distributions of two Gibbs point processes in a very general setting. Applications are provided to various well-known processes and settings from spatial statistics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Dominic Schuhmacher , Kaspar Stucki

Discretizations of Langevin diffusions provide a powerful method for sampling and Bayesian inference. However, such discretizations require evaluation of the gradient of the potential function. In several real-world scenarios, obtaining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Abhishek Roy , Lingqing Shen , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Saeed Ghadimi

The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano M. Iacus

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Neil K. Chada , Jordan Franks , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Matti Vihola

We develop a general approach to Stein's method for approximating a random process in the path space $D([0,T]\to R^d)$ by a real continuous Gaussian process. We then use the approach in the context of processes that have a representation as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Guangqu Zheng

We use Stein's method to establish the rates of normal approximation in terms of the total variation distance for a large class of sums of score functions of marked Poisson point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$. As in the study under the weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia