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Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

Shot noise processes are used in applied probability to model a variety of physical systems in, for example, teletraffic theory, insurance and risk theory and in the engineering sciences. In this work we prove a large deviation principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Nyquist

In this paper, we describe a novel application of sigma-point methods to continuous-discrete filtering. In principle, the nonlinear continuous- discrete filtering problem can be solved exactly. In practice, the solution contains terms that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-15 Simon Lyons , Simo Särkkä , Amos Storkey

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a non-homogeneous intensity function from the observation of n independent Poisson processes having a common intensity that is randomly shifted for each observed trajectory. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-20 Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat , Thierry Klein , Clément Marteau

This paper develops the large deviations theory for the point process associated with the Euclidean volume of $k$-nearest neighbor balls centered around the points of a homogeneous Poisson or a binomial point processes in the unit cube. Two…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Christian Hirsch , Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

Density-based directed distances -- particularly known as divergences -- between probability distributions are widely used in statistics as well as in the adjacent research fields of information theory, artificial intelligence and machine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Michel Broniatowski , Wolfgang Stummer

Renyi's "thinning" operation on a discrete random variable is a natural discrete analog of the scaling operation for continuous random variables. The properties of thinning are investigated in an information-theoretic context, especially in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-08-17 Peter Harremoes , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We study weak convergence of a sequence of point processes to a scale-invariant simple point process. For a deterministic sequence $(z_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ of positive real numbers increasing to infinity as $n \to \infty$ and a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Ilya Molchanov

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

This paper establishes the global asymptotic equivalence between a Poisson process with variable intensity and white noise with drift under sharp smoothness conditions on the unknown function. This equivalence is also extended to density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lawrence D. Brown , Andrew V. Carter , Mark G. Low , Cun-Hui Zhang

This paper establishes quantitative limit theorems for two classes of Cox point processes, quantifying their convergence to a Poisson point process (PPP). We employ Stein's method for PPP aproximation, leveraging the generator approach and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Hamza Adrat , Laurent Decreusefond

The F\"ollmer process is a Brownian motion conditioned to have a pre-specified distribution at time 1. This process can be interpreted as an "augmented" time-compressed version of the reverse stochastic differential equation (SDE) for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuta Koike

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

This paper deals with Poisson approximation to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables using Stein's method. The derived result represents a significant improvement of existing results. To illustrate the effectiveness of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Pratima Eknath Kadu

Species distribution modeling (SDM) plays a crucial role in investigating habitat suitability and addressing various ecological issues. While likelihood analysis is commonly used to draw ecological conclusions, it has been observed that its…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yusuke Saigusa , Shinto Eguchi , Osamu Komori

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

This article develops, and describes how to use, results concerning disintegrations of Poisson random measures. These results are fashioned as simple tools that can be tailor-made to address inferential questions arising in a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

This article introduces a general statistical modeling principle called "Density Sharpening" and applies it to the analysis of discrete count data. The underlying foundation is based on a new theory of nonparametric approximation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Subhadeep Mukhopadhyay
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