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Bayesian methods - either based on Bayes Factors or BIC - are now widely used for model selection. One property that might reasonably be demanded of any model selection method is that if a model ${M}_{1}$ is preferred to a model ${M}_{0}$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-20 Piotr Zwiernik , Jim Q. Smith

We study a random walk in random environment on the non-negative integers. The random environment is not homogeneous in law, but is a mixture of two kinds of site, one in asymptotically vanishing proportion. The two kinds of site are (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-28 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

This article deals with the emergence of a specific mating preference pattern called homogamy in a population. Individuals are characterized by their genotype at two haploid loci, and the population dynamics is modelled by a non-linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Coron Camille , Costa Manon , Laroche Fabien , Leman Hélène , Smadi Charline

We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

Background: Any sample of individuals has its own, unique distribution of preferences for choices that they make. Discrete choice models try to capture these distributions. Mixed logits are by far the most commonly used choice model in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-18 John Buckell , Alice Wreford , Matthew Quaife , Thomas O. Hancock

Political polarization has become a growing concern in democratic societies, as it drives tribal alignments and erodes civic deliberation among citizens. Given its prevalence across different countries, previous research has sought to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-01 Federico Zimmerman , Lucía Pedraza , Joaquín Navajas , Pablo Balenzuela

We develop original models to study interacting agents in financial markets and in social networks. Within these models randomness is vital as a form of shock or news that decays with time. Agents learn from their observations and learning…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-14 Ionel Popescu , Tushar Vaidya

We consider a model where an agent is must choose between alternatives that each provide only an imprecise description of the world (e.g. linguistic expressions). The set of alternatives is closed under logical conjunction and disjunction,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-11 Evan Piermont , Marcus Pivato

We study two types of stochastic processes, a mean-field spatial system of interacting Fisher-Wright diffusions with an inferior and an advantageous type with rare mutation (inferior to advantageous) and a (mean-field) spatial system of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-02 Donald A. Dawson , Andreas Greven

We study the scaling limit of a large class of voter model perturbations in one dimension, including stochastic Potts models, to a universal limiting object, the continuum voter model perturbation. The perturbations can be described in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-21 C. M. Newman , K. Ravishankar , E. Schertzer

The recent availability of huge high resolution datasets on human activities has revealed the heavy-tailed nature of the interevent time distributions. In social simulations of interacting agents the standard approach has been to use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-24 Juan Fernández-Gracia , Víctor M. Eguíluz , Maxi San Miguel

We introduce the vacillating voter model in which each voter consults two neighbors to decide its state, and changes opinion if it disagrees with either neighbor. This irresolution leads to a global bias toward zero magnetization. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-10-23 R. Lambiotte , S. Redner

We introduce and analyze a voter-type model on a two-layer multiplex network, where the presence of a state on one layer acts as a catalyst or inhibitor to the propagation of that state on the other layer. Despite the model's simplicity,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-04-08 Christian Kluge , Christian Kuehn

We analyze the ordering dynamics of the voter model in different classes of complex networks. We observe that whether the voter dynamics orders the system depends on the effective dimensionality of the interaction networks. We also find…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-25 Krzysztof Suchecki , Víctor M. Eguíluz , Maxi San Miguel

When sociologists and other social scientist ask whether the return to college differs by race and gender, they face a choice between two fundamentally different modes of inquiry. Traditional interaction models follow deductive logic: the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Adel Daoud

The availability of data from multiple heterogeneous environments has motivated methods that remain reliable under distributional shifts. When the joint distribution of response and predictors varies across environments, the response may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Ruqian Zhang , Juan Shen , Yijiao Zhang

We present our recent work on stochastic particle systems on complex networks. As a noninteracting system we first consider the diffusive motion of a random walker on heterogeneous complex networks. We find that the random walker is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jae Dong Noh

Politics around the world exhibits increasing polarization, demonstrated in part by rigid voting configurations in institutions like legislatures or courts. A crux of polarization is separation along a unidimensional ideological axis, but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Edward D. Lee

In this paper we model the problem of learning preferences of a population as an active learning problem. We propose an algorithm can adaptively choose pairs of items to show to users coming from a heterogeneous population, and use the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-23 Aniruddha Bhargava , Ravi Ganti , Robert Nowak

We study the voter model, under node and link update, and the related invasion process on a single strongly connected component of a directed network. We implement an analytical treatment in the thermodynamic limit using the heterogeneous…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2011-07-06 M. Angeles Serrano , Konstantin Klemm , Federico Vazquez , Victor M. Eguiluz , Maxi San Miguel