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We present a general framework for a comparative theory of variability measures, with a particular focus on the recently introduced one-parameter families of inter-Expected Shortfall differences and inter-expectile differences, that are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Fabio Bellini , Tolulope Fadina , Ruodu Wang , Yunran Wei

We consider a class of graph-valued stochastic processes in which each vertex has a type that fluctuates randomly over time. Collectively, the paths of the vertex types up to a given time determine the probabilities that the edges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

We present an analytical model to study the role of expectation feedbacks and overlapping portfolios on systemic stability of financial systems. Building on [Corsi et al., 2016], we model a set of financial institutions having Value at Risk…

General Economics · Economics 2018-07-23 Piero Mazzarisi , Fabrizio Lillo , Stefano Marmi

We present new estimators for the statistical analysis of the dependence of the mean gap time length between consecutive recurrent events, on a set of explanatory random variables and in the presence of right censoring. The dependence is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-10 Ioana Schiopu-Kratina , Hai Yan Liu , Mayer Alvo , Pierre-Jerome Bergeron

The univariate distorted distribution were introduced in risk theory to represent changes (distortions) in the expected distributions of some risks. Later they were also applied to represent distributions of order statistics, coherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Jorge Navarro , Camilla Calì , Maria Longobardi , Fabrizio Durante

We study a noisy oscillator with pulse delayed feedback, theoretically and in an electronic experimental implementation. Without noise, this system has multiple stable periodic regimes. We consider two types of noise: i) phase noise acting…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-26 Vladimir Klinshov , Dmitry Shchapin , Otti D'Huys

The second-largest order statistic is of special importance in reliability theory since it represents the time to failure of a $2$-out-of-$n$ system. Consider two $2$-out-of-$n$ systems with heterogeneous random lifetimes. The lifetimes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

We consider the stochastic patterns of a system of communicating, or coupled, self-propelled particles in the presence of noise and communication time delay. For sufficiently large environmental noise, there exists a transition between a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-04-23 Luis Mier-y-Teran-Romero , Eric Forgoston , Ira B. Schwartz

In this paper, we investigate synchronization of coupled second-order linear harmonic oscillators with random noises and time delays. The interaction topology is modeled by a weighted directed graph and the weights are perturbed by white…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-29 Yilun Shang

In this manuscript, we study stochastic comparisons of the second-order statistics from dependent or independent observations with modified proportional hazard rates models. First, we establish the usual stochastic order of the second-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Niu Jiale

When the parameter of a map is chosen, at each iteration step, following a certain rule, is called Parametric Perturbation. If the parameters are drawn from a distribution, then this perturbation is called Random Parametric Perturbation.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-08-07 Dhrubajyoti Biswas , Soumyajit Seth

Here we present a simple stochastic threshold model consisting of a deterministic slowly decaying term and a fast stochastic noise term. The process shows a pseudo-resonance, in the sense that for small and large intensities of the noise…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-06-08 Peter D. Ditlevsen , Holger Braun

In applied time-to-event analysis, a flexible parametric approach is to model the hazard rate as a piecewise constant function of time. However, the change points and values of the piecewise constant hazard are usually unknown and need to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Manuel Rosenbaum , Jan Beyersmann , Michael Vogt

Time-varying networks describe a wide array of systems whose constituents and interactions evolve over time. They are defined by an ordered stream of interactions between nodes, yet they are often represented in terms of a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-23 Bruno Ribeiro , Nicola Perra , Andrea Baronchelli

By analyzing empirical time headway distributions of traffic flow, a hypothesis about the underlying stochastic process can be drawn. The results found lead to the assumption that the headways $T_i$ of individual vehicles follow a linear…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Wagner

We study the aggregate hazard rate of a heterogeneous population whose individual event intensities are modeled as Cox (doubly stochastic) processes. In the deterministic hazard setting, the observed pool hazard is the survival weighted…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-20 Andrew Lesniewski

Digital monitoring studies collect real-time high frequency data via mobile sensors in the subjects' natural environment. This data can be used to model the impact of changes in physiology on recurrent event outcomes such as smoking, drug…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Walter Dempsey

In this paper we propose a new lifetime model, called the odd generalized exponential linear failure rate distribution. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution such as the moments, the quantiles, the median, and the mode…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , M. E. Mustafa

Survivorship analysis allows to statistically analyze situations that can be modeled as waiting times to an event. These waiting times are characterized by the cumulative hazard rate, which can be estimated by the Nelson-Aalen estimator or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Niklas Hohmann

The hazard function is central to the formulation of commonly used survival regression models such as the proportional hazards and accelerated failure time models. However, these models rely on a shared baseline hazard, which, when…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 J. A. Christen , F. J. Rubio