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We propose a nonparametric estimator of the empirical distribution function (EDF) of the latent spot variance of the log-price of a financial asset. We show that over a fixed time span our realized EDF (or REDF) -- inferred from noisy…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-29 Kim Christensen , Martin Thyrsgaard , Bezirgen Veliyev

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new type of test statistic for simple null hypothesis on one-dimensional ergodic diffusion processes sampled at discrete times. We deal with a quasi-likelihood approach for stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano M. Iacus

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We study the infinite-horizon average (ergodic) risk sensitive control problem for diffusion processes under a general structural hypothesis: there is a partition of state space into two subsets, where the controlled diffusion process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Sumith Reddy Anugu , Guodong Pang

We introduce tests for the goodness of fit of point patterns via methods from topological data analysis. More precisely, the persistent Betti numbers give rise to a bivariate functional summary statistic for observed point patterns that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio , Nicolas Chenavier , Christian Hirsch , Anne Marie Svane

We analyse a class of estimators of the generalized diffusion coefficient for fractional Brownian motion $B_t$ of known Hurst index $H$, based on weighted functionals of the single time square displacement. We show that for a certain choice…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Denis Boyer , David S. Dean , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio , Gleb Oshanin

A method is presented to construct goodness-of-fit statistics in many dimensions for which the distribution of all possible test results in the limit of an infinite number of data becomes Gaussian if also the number of dimensions becomes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 A. van Hameren

A natural (yet unconventional) test for goodness-of-fit measures the discrepancy between the model and empirical distributions via their Euclidean distance (or, equivalently, via its square). The present paper characterizes the statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-28 William Perkins , Gary Simon , Mark Tygert

We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Heiko Strathmann , Arthur Gretton

We present a review of several results concerning the construction of the Cramer-von Mises and Kolmogorov-Smirnov type goodness-of-fit tests for continuous time processes. As the models we take a stochastic differential equation with small…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

In this paper, we revisit the classical goodness-of-fit problems for univariate distributions; we propose a new testing procedure based on a characterisation of the uniform distribution. Asymptotic theory for the simple hypothesis case is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Bruno Ebner , Shawn Liebenberg , Jaco Visagie

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

Assessing model adequacy is a crucial step in regression analysis, ensuring the validity of statistical inferences. For Generalized Functional Linear Models (GFLMs), which are widely used for modeling relationships between scalar responses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Feifei Chen , Kaiming Zhang , Yanni Zhang , Hua Liang

Using fixed point characterization, we develop a new goodness of fit test for uniform distribution. We also discuss how the right censored observations can be incorporated in the proposed test procedure. We study the asymptotic properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-14 Sudheesh K. Kattumannil , Sreedevi E. P

Motivated by contemporary and rich applications of anomalous diffusion processes we propose a new statistical test for fractional Brownian motion, which is one of the most popular models for anomalous diffusion systems. The test is based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-17 Grzegorz Sikora

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We obtain non-asymptotic Gaussian concentration bounds for the difference between the invariant measure $\nu$ of an ergodic Brownian diffusion process and the empirical distribution of an approximating scheme with decreasing time step along…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Igor Honoré , Stephane Menozzi , Gilles Pagès

We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

Consider an observation of a multivariate temporal point process $N$ with law $\mathcal P$ on the time interval $[0,T]$. To test the null hypothesis that $\mathcal P$ belongs to a given parametric family, we construct a convergent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Justin Baars , Sami Umut Can , Roger J. A. Laeven

In this work, the distributional properties of the goodness-of-fit term in likelihood-based information criteria are explored. These properties are then leveraged to construct a novel goodness-of-fit test for normal linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Scott H. Koeneman , Joseph E. Cavanaugh