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Estimating the score, i.e., the gradient of log density function, from a set of samples generated by an unknown distribution is a fundamental task in inference and learning of probabilistic models that involve flexible yet intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Yuhao Zhou , Jiaxin Shi , Jun Zhu

No matter the nature of the response and/or explanatory variables in a regression model, some basic issues such as the existence of an effect of the predictor on the response, or the assessment of a common shape across groups of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-01 María Alonso-Pena , Jose Ameijeiras-Alonso , Rosa M. Crujeiras

Calibration requires predictor outputs to be consistent with their Bayesian posteriors. For machine learning predictors that do not distinguish between small perturbations, calibration errors are continuous in predictions, e.g., smooth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Jason Hartline , Yifan Wu , Yunran Yang

Self-normalized martingale inequalities lie at the heart of confidence ellipsoids for online least squares and, more broadly, many bandit and reinforcement-learning results. Yet existing vector and scalar results typically rely on bounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Fan Chen , Jian Qian , Alexander Rakhlin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

A kernel based procedure for correcting experimental data for distortions due to the finite resolution and limited detector acceptance is presented. The unfolding problem is known to be an ill-posed problem that can not be solved without…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-19 N. D. Gagunashvili , M. Schmelling

We focus on \emph{row sampling} based approximations for matrix algorithms, in particular matrix multipication, sparse matrix reconstruction, and \math{\ell_2} regression. For \math{\matA\in\R^{m\times d}} (\math{m} points in \math{d\ll m}…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-03-29 Malik Magdon-Ismail

We provide uniform convergence rates for kernel averages on $[0,1]$ under equally-spaced fixed design points of the form $x_{t,T}=t/T,\ t\in\{1,\dotsc, T\},\ T\in\mathbb{N}$. The rates of weak and strong uniform consistency are derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Danilo Hiroshi Matsuoka , Hudson da Silva Torrent

The conventional rounding error analysis provides worst-case bounds with an associated failure probability and ignores the statistical property of the rounding errors. In this paper, we develop a new statistical rounding error analysis for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Yiming Fang , Li Chen

We consider the problem of modulation and estimation of a random parameter $U$ to be conveyed across a discrete memoryless channel. Upper and lower bounds are derived for the best achievable exponential decay rate of a general moment of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

We identify a universal structural principle underlying the smoothing of classical divergences: the optimizer of the smoothing problem is a clipped probability vector, independently of the specific divergence. This yields a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Gilad Gour

We consider nonparametric inference of finite dimensional, potentially non-pathwise differentiable target parameters. In a nonparametric model, some examples of such parameters that are always non pathwise differentiable target parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Aurelien F. Bibaut , Mark J. van der Laan

Error bounds, which refer to inequalities that bound the distance of vectors in a test set to a given set by a residual function, have proven to be extremely useful in analyzing the convergence rates of a host of iterative methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Zirui Zhou , Anthony Man-Cho So

We consider unregularized robust M-estimators for linear models under Gaussian design and heavy-tailed noise, in the proportional asymptotics regime where the sample size n and the number of features p are both increasing such that $p/n \to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Pierre C. Bellec , Takuya Koriyama

An asymptotic theory is established for linear functionals of the predictive function given by kernel ridge regression, when the reproducing kernel Hilbert space is equivalent to a Sobolev space. The theory covers a wide variety of linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Rui Tuo , Lu Zou

We propose new data-driven smooth tests for a parametric regression function. The smoothing parameter is selected through a new criterion that favors a large smoothing parameter under the null hypothesis. The resulting test is adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Emmanuel Guerre , Pascal Lavergne

Randomized matrix sparsification has proven to be a fruitful technique for producing faster algorithms in applications ranging from graph partitioning to semidefinite programming. In the decade or so of research into this technique, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

We study the problem of high-dimensional linear regression in a robust model where an $\epsilon$-fraction of the samples can be adversarially corrupted. We focus on the fundamental setting where the covariates of the uncorrupted samples are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Ilias Diakonikolas , Weihao Kong , Alistair Stewart

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

This paper introduces a local linear smoother for regression surfaces on the simplex. The estimator solves a least-squares regression problem weighted by a locally adaptive Dirichlet kernel, ensuring good boundary properties. Asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Christian Genest , Frédéric Ouimet
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