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Berliner (Likelihood and Bayesian prediction for chaotic systems, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1991) identified a number of difficulties in using the likelihood function within the Bayesian paradigm which arise both for state estimation and for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-30 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

Parameter identification problems are formulated in a probabilistic language, where the randomness reflects the uncertainty about the knowledge of the true values. This setting allows conceptually easily to incorporate new information, e.g.…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Bojana V. Rosić , Anna Kučerová , Jan Sýkora , Oliver Pajonk , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

One reason why standard formulations of the central limit theorems are not applicable in high-dimensional and non-stationary regimes is the lack of a suitable limit object. Instead, suitable distributional approximations can be used, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Fabian Mies

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely-used tools in spatial statistics and machine learning and the formulae for the mean function and covariance kernel of a GP $T u$ that is the image of another GP $u$ under a linear transformation $T$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Tadashi Matsumoto , T. J. Sullivan

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

High dimensional data can have a surprising property: pairs of data points may be easily separated from each other, or even from arbitrary subsets, with high probability using just simple linear classifiers. However, this is more of a rule…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Oliver J. Sutton , Qinghua Zhou , Alexander N. Gorban , Ivan Y. Tyukin

We consider versions of the FIND algorithm where the pivot element used is the median of a subset chosen uniformly at random from the data. For the median selection we assume that subsamples of size asymptotic to $c \cdot n^\alpha$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-20 Henning Sulzbach , Ralph Neininger , Michael Drmota

We investigate the conditional distributions of two Banach space valued, jointly Gaussian random variables. In particular, we show that these conditional distributions are again Gaussian and that their means and covariances can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Ingo Steinwart

Computer experiments have become ubiquitous in science and engineering. Commonly, runs of these simulations demand considerable time and computing, making experimental design extremely important in gaining high quality information with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-15 Benjamin Haaland , Wenjia Wang , Vaibhav Maheshwari

We introduce a new mathematical framework for the probabilistic description of an experiment upon a system of any type in terms of initial information representing this system. Based on the notions of an information state, an information…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Elena R. Loubenets

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

From the classical and influential works of Neal (1996), it is known that the infinite width scaling limit of a Bayesian neural network with one hidden layer is a Gaussian process, when the network weights have bounded prior variance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Jorge Loría , Anindya Bhadra

High-dimensional data sets are commonly collected in many contemporary applications arising in various fields of scientific research. We present two views of finite samples in high dimensions: a probabilistic one and a nonprobabilistic one.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Jinchi Lv

We study high-dimensional asymptotic performance limits of binary supervised classification problems where the class conditional densities are Gaussian with unknown means and covariances and the number of signal dimensions scales faster…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Mohammad Hossein Rohban , Prakash Ishwar , Birant Orten , William C. Karl , Venkatesh Saligrama

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

The continuity of Gaussian processes is extensively studied topic and it culminates in the Talagrand's notion of majorizing measures that gives complicated necessary and sufficient conditions. In this note we study the H\"older continuity…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari , Adil Yazigi