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We consider high frequency samples from ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift coefficient $a(x,\alpha)$ and scale coefficient $c(x,\gamma)$ involving unknown parameters $\alpha$ and $\gamma$. We suppose…
This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…
This paper gives examples of explicit arbitrage-free term structure models with L\'evy jumps via state price density approach. By generalizing quadratic Gaussian models, it is found that the probability density function of a L\'evy process…
Generalizing the concept of quantiles to the jump measure of a L\'evy process, the generalized quantiles $q_{\tau}^{\pm}>0$, for $\tau>0$, are given by the smallest values such that a jump larger than $q_{\tau}^{+}$ or a negative jump…
We analyze a specific class of random systems that are driven by a symmetric L\'{e}vy stable noise. In view of the L\'{e}vy noise sensitivity to the confining "potential landscape" where jumps take place (in other words, to environmental…
In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…
The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…
We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…
The problem of sampling according to the probability distribution minimizing a given free energy, using interacting particles unadjusted kinetic Langevin Monte Carlo, is addressed. In this setting, three sources of error arise, related to…
We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…
This study examines a nonparametric inference on a stationary L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process $X = (X_{t})_{t \geq 0}$ with a compound Poisson subordinator. We propose a new spectral estimator for the L\'evy measure of the…
We prove asymptotic behaviour of transition density for a large class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy processes of unbounded variation satisfying mild condition imposed on the second derivative of the Laplace exponent, or equivalently, on…
This is the second part of the research project initiated in Cleanthous et al (2024). We deal with the problem of the adaptive estimation of the $\mathbb{L}_2$-norm of a probability density on $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$, from independent…
Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…
This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…
We study a non-parametric approach to multivariate density estimation. The estimators are piecewise constant density functions supported by binary partitions. The partition of the sample space is learned by maximizing the likelihood of the…
We prove sharp two-sided estimates on the tail probability of the first hitting time of bounded interval as well as its asymptotic behaviour for general non-symmetric processes which satisfy an integral condition \[ \int_0^{\infty}…
The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of some random measure by a piecewise constant function on a finite partition of the underlying measurable space. Given a (possibly large) family of candidate partitions, we build a…
Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…
Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…