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We provide an overview of some recent techniques involving the Malliavin calculus of variations and the so-called ``Stein's method'' for the Gaussian approximations of probability distributions. Special attention is devoted to establishing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-17 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Consider an n-fold integrated Brownian motion. We show that a simple change in time and scale transforms it into a stationary Gaussian process. The collection of stationary processes so constructed not only constitutes an interesting family…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Wong

We identify a new variational inference scheme for dynamical systems whose transition function is modelled by a Gaussian process. Inference in this setting has either employed computationally intensive MCMC methods, or relied on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-14 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. One such representation is based on a limit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-26 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

Given that a stationary Gaussian process is above a high threshold, the length of time it spends before going below that threshold is studied. The asymptotic order is determined by the smoothness of the sample paths, which in turn is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Arijit Chakrabarty , Manish Pandey , Sukrit Chakraborty

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Paweł J. Szabłowski

We present exact formulas for both the expected number and the height distribution of local maxima (peaks) in two distinct categories of smooth, non-centered Gaussian fields: (i) nonstationary Gaussian processes and (ii) stationary planar…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Dan Cheng

This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

We consider a stationary queueing process $Q_X$ fed by a centered Gaussian process $X$ with stationary increments and variance function satisfying classical regularity conditions. A criterion when, for a given function $f$, $\mathbb P…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Peng Liu

In this paper, we study central and non-central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary Gaussian fields. We apply our result to study drift parameter estimation problems for some stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

Pickands constants play a crucial role in the asymptotic theory of Gaussian processes. They are commonly defined as the limits of a sequence of expectations involving fractional Brownian motions and, as such, their exact value is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-05 Krzysztof Dębicki , Sebastian Engelke , Enkelejd Hashorva

Layered stable (multivariate) distributions and processes are defined and studied. A layered stable process combines stable trends of two different indices, one of them possibly Gaussian. More precisely, in short time, it is close to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-11 C. Houdré , R. Kawai

Some recent theoretical studies have tended to employ analytically-continuous {\em gaussian}, or infinite-bandwidth step pulses to examine tunneling process. The stationary phase method is often employed to this aim. However, {\em gaussian}…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Alex E. Bernardini

Functional data are defined as realizations of random functions (mostly smooth functions) varying over a continuum, which are usually collected with measurement errors on discretized grids. In order to accurately smooth noisy functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-13 Jingjing Yang , Dennis D. Cox , Jong Soo Lee , Peng Ren , Taeryon Choi

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

In this paper, using a very general Cameron--Storvick theorem on the Wiener space $C_0[0,T]$, we establish various integration by parts formulas involving generalized analytic Feynman integrals, generalized analytic Fourier--Feynman…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Seung Jun Chand , Jae Gil Choi

In this paper, we are interested in linear prediction of a particular kind of stochastic process, namely a marked temporal point process. The observations are event times recorded on the real line, with marks attached to each event. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-18 Maximilian Aigner , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

We establish inequalities for assessing the distance between the distribution of errors of partially observed high-frequency statistics of multidimensional L\'evy processes and that of a mixed Gaussian random variable. Furthermore, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Chiara Amorino , Arturo Jaramillo , Mark Podolskij

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris