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Predicting evolution of expanding populations is critical to control biological threats such as invasive species and cancer metastasis. Expansion is primarily driven by reproduction and dispersal, but nature abounds with examples of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-26 Maxime Deforet , Carlos Carmona-Fontaine , Kirill S. Korolev , Joao B. Xavier

We propose a novel frailty model with change points applying random effects to a Cox proportional hazard model to adjust the heterogeneity between clusters. Because the frailty model includes random effects, the parameters are estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Masahiro Kojima , Shunichiro Orihara

In this paper, a new three-parameter lifetime distribution is introduced and many of its standard properties are discussed. These include shape of the probability density function, hazard rate function and its shape, quantile function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-21 Min Wang

To describe the nonequilibrium states of a system we introduce a new thermodynamic parameter - the lifetime of a system. The statistical distributions which can be obtained out of the mesoscopic description characterizing the behaviour of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

We consider the time-dependent statistical distributions of diffusive processes in relaxation to a stationary state for simple, two dimensional chaotic models based upon random walks on a line. We show that the cumulative functions of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-07-15 T. Gilbert , J. R. Dorfman , P. Gaspard

Viscoelasticity and related phenomena are of great importance in the study of mechanical properties of material especially, biological materials. Certain materials show some complex effects in mechanical tests, which cannot be described by…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-09-19 Mohammad Amirian Matlob , Yousef Jamali

A proposal for a calculational program in fluid turbulence is presented. It is proposed that the fluid probability density functional has an attractor for its time-evolution, just as the dynamical system itself has. The evolution of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Edsel A. Ammons

We consider survival probabilities for the discrete time process in one dimension, which is known as the Domany-Kinzel model. A convergence theorem for infinite systems can be obtained in the nonattractive case.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Makoto Katori , Norio Konno , Hideki Tanemura

The time dependence of the survival probability, S(t), is determined for diffusing particles in two dimensions which are also driven by a random unidirectional zero-mean velocity field, v_x(y). For a semi-infinite system with unbounded y…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Sidney Redner

Survival analysis can sometimes involve individuals who will not experience the event of interest, forming what is known as the cured group. Identifying such individuals is not always possible beforehand, as they provide only right-censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Jinqing Li , Jun Ma

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

Modeling of phenomena such as anomalous transport via fractional-order differential equations has been established as an effective alternative to partial differential equations, due to the inherent ability to describe large-scale behavior…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Jorge Suzuki , Mamikon Gulian , Mohsen Zayernouri , Marta D'Elia

There is increasing interest in flexible parametric models for the analysis of time-to-event data, yet Bayesian approaches that offer incorporation of prior knowledge remain underused. A flexible Bayesian parametric model has recently been…

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

This article proposes an efficient Bayesian inference for piecewise exponential hazard (PEH) models, which allow the effect of a covariate on the survival time to vary over time. The proposed inference methodology is based on a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-01 Parfait Munezero

While there are many well-developed data science methods for classification and regression, there are relatively few methods for working with right-censored data. Here, we present "survival stacking": a method for casting survival analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Erin Craig , Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani

Survival time is the primary endpoint of many randomized controlled trials, and a treatment effect is typically quantified by the hazard ratio under the assumption of proportional hazards. Awareness is increasing that in many settings this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Robin Ristl , Heiko Götte , Armin Schüler , Martin Posch , Franz König

Piecewise constant priors are routinely used in the Bayesian Cox proportional hazards model for survival analysis. Despite its popularity, large sample properties of this Bayesian method are not yet well understood. This work provides a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Bo Y. -C. Ning , Ismaël Castillo

We introduce DeepFHT, a survival-analysis framework that couples deep neural networks with first hitting time (FHT) distributions from stochastic process theory. Time to event is represented as the first passage of a latent diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Alessio Cristofoletto , Cesare Rollo , Giovanni Birolo , Piero Fariselli