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We investigate the estimation of the extreme value index when the data are subject to random censorship. We prove, in a unified way, detailed asymptotic normality results for various estimators of the extreme value index and use these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 John H. J. Einmahl , Amélie Fils-Villetard , Armelle Guillou

One popular approach to incorporating experimental data into molecular simulations is to restrain the ensemble average of observables to their experimental values. Here I derive equations for the equilibrium distributions generated by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-22 Huafeng Xu

Splitting methods constitute a widely used class of numerical integrators for ordinary and partial differential equations, particularly well suited to problems that can be decomposed into simpler subproblems. High-order splitting schemes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Fernando Casas , Ander Murua

Suppose we observe an invertible linear process with independent mean-zero innovations and with coefficients depending on a finite-dimensional parameter, and we want to estimate the expectation of some function under the stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

We develop our previous works concerning the identification of the collection of significant factors determining some, in general, non-binary random response variable. Such identification is important, e.g., in biological and medical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 Alexander V. Bulinski , Alexander S. Rakitko

In this paper, we develop a computational approach for estimating the mean value of a quantity in the presence of uncertainty. We demonstrate that, under some mild assumptions, the upper and lower bounds of the mean value are efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

The Expectation--Maximization (EM) algorithm is a simple meta-algorithm that has been used for many years as a methodology for statistical inference when there are missing measurements in the observed data or when the data is composed of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Hideitsu Hino , Shotaro Akaho , Noboru Murata

We analyze the behavior of stochastic approximation algorithms where iterates, in expectation, progress towards an objective at each step. When progress is proportional to the step size of the algorithm, we prove exponential concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-26 Kody Law , Neil Walton , Shangda Yang

Bootstrap smoothed (bagged) parameter estimators have been proposed as an improvement on estimators found after preliminary data-based model selection. The key result of Efron (2014) is a very convenient and widely applicable formula for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

Neural networks are one of the most popularly used methods in machine learning and artificial intelligence nowadays. Due to the universal approximation theorem (Hornik et al. (1989)), a neural network with one hidden layer can approximate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Xiaoxi Shen , Chang Jiang , Lyudmila Sakhanenko , Qing Lu

We address the problem of learning of continuous exponential family distributions with unbounded support. While a lot of progress has been made on learning of Gaussian graphical models, we still lack scalable algorithms for reconstructing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Christopher X. Ren , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Regression adjustment, sometimes known as Controlled-experiment Using Pre-Experiment Data (CUPED), is an important technique in internet experimentation. It decreases the variance of effect size estimates, often cutting confidence interval…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-30 Daniel Ting , Kenneth Hung

The Central Limit Theorem provides a foundation for inferential statistics and hypothesis testing. It describes how standardized statistics behave under repeated sampling from large populations. However, if the size of the sample (n)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Mike Crowhurst

Recent research has made significant progress on the problem of bounding log partition functions for exponential family graphical models. Such bounds have associated dual parameters that are often used as heuristic estimates of the marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Pradeep Ravikumar , John Lafferty

The analysis of a truncated sample can be hindered by censoring. Survival information may be lost to follow-up or the birthdate may be missing. The data can still be modeled as a truncated point process and it is close to a Poisson process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Fiete Sieg , Anne-Marie Toparkus , Rafael Weissbach

The sample mean is often used to aggregate different unbiased estimates of a parameter, producing a final estimate that is unbiased but possibly high-variance. This paper introduces the Bayesian median of means, an aggregation rule that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Paulo Orenstein

In this article, we derive an explicit formula for computing confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable. Moreover, we have developed multistage point estimation methods for estimating the mean value with prescribed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Xinjia Chen

We revisit the sample average approximation (SAA) approach for non-convex stochastic programming. We show that applying the SAA approach to problems with expected value equality constraints does not necessarily result in asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

For many applications, an ensemble of base classifiers is an effective solution. The tuning of its parameters(number of classes, amount of data on which each classifier is to be trained on, etc.) requires G, the generalization error of a…

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey