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We study the statistics of near-extreme events of Brownian motion (BM) on the time interval [0,t]. We focus on the density of states (DOS) near the maximum \rho(r,t) which is the amount of time spent by the process at a distance r from the…
We present an alternative to the well-known Anderson's formula for the probability that a first exit time from the planar region between two slopping lines -a_1 t -b_1 and a_2 t + b_2 by a standard Brownian motion is greater than T. As the…
We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of…
Fractional Brownian motion has become a standard tool to address long-range dependence in financial time series. However, a constant memory parameter is too restrictive to address different market conditions. Here we model the price…
The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…
In this note, we present the closed form solution for the joint distribution of the range and terminal value of a Brownian motion. Based on this distribution we build a range scaled terminal value distribution and show the derivation steps…
This paper establishes a non-stochastic analogue of the celebrated result by Dubins and Schwarz about reduction of continuous martingales to Brownian motion via time change. We consider an idealized financial security with continuous price…
This is the second part of our survey on exponential functionals of Brownian motion. We focus on the applications of the results about the distributions of the exponential functionals, which have been discussed in the first part. Pricing…
Let ${\psi}:\mathbb{R}^{+}\rightarrow\mathbb{R}^{+}$ be a smooth and continuous real function and $\psi\in\mathrm{L}^{2}(\mathbb{R}^{+})$. Let ${B}(t)$ be a standard Brownian motion defined with respect to a probability space…
The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walks, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar…
Continuous time models in the theory of real options give explicit formulas for optimal exercise strategies when options are simple and the price of an underlying asset follows a geometric Brownian motion. This paper suggests a general,…
We investigate the limiting distribution of geometric Brownian motion conditional on its running maximum taking large values. We show that the conditional distribution of the geometric Brownian motion converges after a suitable…
It is known the Girsanov exponent $\mathfrak{z}_t$, being solution of Doleans-Dade equation $ \mathfrak{z_t}=1+\int_0^t\alpha(\omega,s)dB_s $ generated by Brownian motion $B_t$ and a random process $\alpha(\omega,t)$ with…
In this paper we derive novel change of variable formulas for stochastic integrals w.r.t. a time-changed Brownian motion where we assume that the time-change is a general increasing stochastic process with finitely many jumps in a bounded…
We present an exact solution for the probability density function $P(\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}|T)$ of the time-difference between the minimum and the maximum of a one-dimensional Brownian motion of duration $T$. We then generalise our results…
We calculate analytically the probability density $P(t_m)$ of the time $t_m$ at which a continuous-time Brownian motion (with and without drift) attains its maximum before passing through the origin for the first time. We also compute the…
It is well known that Brownian motion enjoys several distributional invariances such as the scaling property and the time reversal. In this paper, we prove another invariance of Brownian motion that is compatible with the time reversal. The…
Let $\tau$ be the first hitting time of the point 1 by the geometric Brownian motion $X(t)= x \exp(B(t)-2\mu t)$ with drift $\mu \geq 0$ starting from $x>1$. Here $B(t)$ is the Brownian motion starting from 0 with $E^0 B^2(t) = 2t$. We…
We show that, under certain smoothness conditions, a Brownian martingale, when evaluated at a fixed time, can be represented via an exponential formula at a later time. The time-dependent generator of this exponential operator only depends…
Lecture notes for a master-level mathematics course on martingales and stochastic calculus, held at the University of Orl\'eans, France. With corrected exercises. Contents: Discrete-time martingales, stopping times, convergence theorems.…