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Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are a powerful and commonly used family of numerical methods for sampling from complex probability distributions. As applications of these methods increase in size and complexity, the need for efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Colin Cotter , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell

The worm algorithm is a versatile technique in the Markov chain Monte Carlo method for both classical and quantum systems. The algorithm substantially alleviates critical slowing down and reduces the dynamic critical exponents of various…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-19 Hidemaro Suwa

Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a powerful method for Bayesian inference in models where the posterior distribution is analytical intractable or computationally costly to evaluate directly. It operates by introducing…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-06 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Joel Kronander , Thomas B. Schön

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

The main focus of this article is to provide a mathematical study of the algorithm proposed in \cite{boyaval2010variance} where the authors proposed a variance reduction technique for the computation of parameter-dependent expectations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Mohamed-Raed Blel , Virginie Ehrlacher , Tony Lelièvre

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

We perform Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian inference of the GJR-GARCH model which is one of asymmetric GARCH models. The adaptive construction scheme is used for the construction of the proposal density in the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-30 Tetsuya Takaishi

In this paper we address the problem of the prohibitively large computational cost of existing Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for large--scale applications with high dimensional parameter spaces, e.g. in uncertainty quantification in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-11 T. J. Dodwell , C. Ketelsen , R. Scheichl , A. L. Teckentrup

Tasks such as record linkage and multi-target tracking, which involve reconstructing the set of objects that underlie some observed data, are particularly challenging for probabilistic inference. Recent work has achieved efficient and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Brian Milch , Stuart Russell

Practitioners of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) may hesitate to use random walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithms, especially variable-at-a-time algorithms with many parameters, because these algorithms require users to select values of…

Computation · Statistics 2011-03-31 Todd L. Graves

We introduce Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms based on numerical approximations of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes obtained with the framework of splitting schemes. We present unadjusted as well as adjusted algorithms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Andrea Bertazzi , Paul Dobson , Pierre Monmarché

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

Monte Carlo inference has asymptotic guarantees, but can be slow when using generic proposals. Handcrafted proposals that rely on user knowledge about the posterior distribution can be efficient, but are difficult to derive and implement.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

In this article, we present an event-driven algorithm that generalizes the recent hard-sphere event-chain Monte Carlo method without introducing discretizations in time or in space. A factorization of the Metropolis filter and the concept…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-10 Manon Michel , Sebastian C. Kapfer , Werner Krauth

We study the Multiple-try Metropolis algorithm using the framework of Poincar\'e inequalities. We describe the Multiple-try Metropolis as an auxiliary variable implementation of a resampling approximation to an ideal Metropolis--Hastings…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-18 Rocco Caprio , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

Can we make Bayesian posterior MCMC sampling more efficient when faced with very large datasets? We argue that computing the likelihood for N datapoints in the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) test to reach a single binary decision is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-17 Anoop Korattikara , Yutian Chen , Max Welling

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to perform such sampling, but this method is known to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle , Eric Moulines

A key design constraint when implementing Monte Carlo and variational inference algorithms is that it must be possible to cheaply and exactly evaluate the marginal densities of proposal distributions and variational families. This takes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Alexander K. Lew , Marco Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Christophe Andrieu , Éric Moulines