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We consider inference of the parameters of the diffusion term for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross and similar processes with a power type dependence of the diffusion coefficient from the underlying process. We suggest some original pathwise estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We consider random networks whose dynamics is described by a rate equation, with transition rates $w_{nm}$ that form a symmetric matrix. The long time evolution of the system is characterized by a diffusion coefficient $D$. In one dimension…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-04 Yaron de Leeuw , Doron Cohen

We study statistical models for one-dimensional diffusions which are recurrent null. A first parameter in the drift is the principal one, and determines regular varying rates of convergence for the score and the information process. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Reinhard Höpfner , Carina Zeller

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of the parameter $\theta$ in the square-root diffusion process is studied under high frequency sampling. Different from the previous study of Overbeck and Ryd\'{e}n(1998) under low-frequency sampling,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yuzhong Cheng , Nicole Hufnagel , Hiroki Masuda

This article is devoted to the detection of parameters in anomalous diffusion from a single passive measurement. More precisely, we consider the simultaneous identification of coefficients as well as a time-dependent source term appearing…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Maolin Deng , Ali Feizmohammadi , Bangti Jin , Yavar Kian

In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions, with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point process with observation times that have its intensity…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

We consider the problem of asymptotically efficient estimation of drift parameters of the ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process under continuous observations when the Hurst parameter $H<1/2$ and the mean of its stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Kohei Chiba , Tetsuya Takabatake

Let $M$ be a $d$-dimensional connected compact Riemannian manifold with boundary $\partial M$, let $V\in C^2(M)$ such that $\mu({\rm d} x):={\rm e}^{V(x)}{\rm d} x$ is a probability measure, and let $X_t$ be the diffusion process generated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-11 Feng-Yu Wang

Translational diffusion coefficients are routinely estimated from molecular dynamics simulations. Linear fits to mean squared displacement (MSD) curves have become the de facto standard, from simple liquids to complex biomacromolecules.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-11-20 Jakob Tómas Bullerjahn , Sören von Bülow , Gerhard Hummer

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

We prove that the diffusion coefficient for the asymmetric exclusion process diverges at least as fast as $t^{1/4}$ in dimension $d=1$ and $(\log t)^{1/2}$ in $d=2$. The method applies to nearest and non-nearest neighbor asymmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 C. Landim , J. Quastel , M. Salmhofer , H. T. Yau

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the drift function of a jump diffusion process $X$ computed from multiple independent copies of $X$ observed on $[0,T]$. Risk bounds are established on this estimator and on an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Hélène Halconruy , Nicolas Marie

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We develop a practical method of computing the stationary drift velocity V and the diffusion coefficient D of a particle (or a few particles) in a periodic system with arbitrary transition rates. We solve this problem both in a physically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Zbigniew Koza

We prove the asymptotic normality of the discretized maximum likelihood estimator for the drift parameter in the homogeneous ergodic diffusion model.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Kostiantyn Ralchenko

The two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution $PD(\alpha,\theta)$ is the distribution of an infinite dimensional random discrete probability. It is a generalization of Kingman's Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. The two parameter Dirichlet…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-22 Shui Feng , Wei Sun