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We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

Let $f(\theta, X_1),$ $ \dots,$ $ f(\theta, X_n)$ be a sequence of random elements, where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $X_1, \dots, X_n$ are independent random variables (data), and $\theta$ is a random parameter distributed according to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Ilja Kuzborskij , Kwang-Sung Jun , Yulian Wu , Kyoungseok Jang , Francesco Orabona

We give a short proof of the free analogue of the Talagrand inequality for the transportation cost to the semicircular which was originally proved by Biane and Voiculescu. The proof is based on a convexity argument and is in the spirit of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2008-02-18 Ionel Popescu

This work introduces the minimax Laplace transform method, a modification of the cumulant-based matrix Laplace transform method developed in "User-friendly tail bounds for sums of random matrices" (arXiv:1004.4389v6) that yields both upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-22 Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

We study the bias of random bounded-degree polynomials over odd prime fields and show that, with probability exponentially close to 1, such polynomials have exponentially small bias. This also yields an exponential tail bound on the weight…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Paul Beame , Shayan Oveis Gharan , Xin Yang

In recent years, tensors have been applied to different applications in science and engineering fields. In order to establish theory about tail bounds of the tensors summation behavior, this work extends previous work by considering the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Shih Yu Chang

We study the convex-hull problem in a probabilistic setting, motivated by the need to handle data uncertainty inherent in many applications, including sensor databases, location-based services and computer vision. In our framework, the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Pankaj K. Agarwal , Sariel Har-Peled , Subhash Suri , Hakan Yildiz , Wuzhou Zhang

We revisit the problem of \emph{missing mass concentration}, developing a new method of estimating concentration of heterogenic sums, in spirit of celebrated Rosenthal's inequality. As a result we slightly improve the state-of-art bounds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Maciej Skorski

We study the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the so-called hybrid Lebesgue-continuous spaces and tail behavior of normed sums of centered random independent variables (vectors) with values in these spaces.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-11 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We relate transport-entropy inequalities to the study of critical points of functionals defined on the space of probability measures. This approach leads in particular to a new proof of a result by Otto and Villani [43] showing that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Joaquin Fontbona , Nathael Gozlan , Jean-Francois Jabir

We propose a conjecture for exponential sums which generalizes both a conjecture by Igusa and a local variant by Denef and Sperber, in particular, it is without the homogeneity condition on the polynomial in the phase, and with new…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-04 Raf Cluckers , Willem Veys

In multi-task learning (MTL) with each task involving graph-dependent data, existing generalization analyses yield a \emph{sub-optimal} risk bound of $O(\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}})$, where $n$ is the number of training samples of each task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Xiao Shao , Guoqiang Wu

This archiving article consists of several short reports on the discussions between the two authors over the past two years at Oxford and Madrid, and their work carried out during that period on the upper bound of the Kullback-Leibler…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Min Chen , Mateu Sbert

Stochastic dominance of a random variable by a convex combination of its independent copies has recently been shown to hold within the relatively narrow class of distributions with concave odds function, and later extended to broader…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Idir Arab , Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

A conjecture of Talagrand (2010) states that the so-called expectation and fractional expectation thresholds are always within at most some constant factor from each other. We prove for the unweighted case that this is a.a.s. true when the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Thomas Fischer , Yury Person

This work obtains sharp closed-form exponential concentration inequalities of Bernstein type for the ubiquitous beta distribution, improving upon sub-gaussian and sub-gamma bounds previously studied in this context. The proof leverages a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-21 Maciej Skorski

Tight bounds for several symmetric divergence measures are introduced, given in terms of the total variation distance. Each of these bounds is attained by a pair of 2 or 3-element probability distributions. An application of these bounds…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Igal Sason

We present a universal concentration bound for sums of random variables under arbitrary dependence, and we prove that it is asymptotically optimal for broad families of marginals admitting a uniform integrable tail-quantile envelope. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Cosme Louart , Sicheng Tan

The note is devoted to estimates for convolutions appearing in some class of stochastic Volterra equations. Two maximal inequalities and exponential tail estimate are proved by the fractional method of infinite dimensional stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Karczewska

We respond to Tetlock et al. (2022) showing 1) how expert judgment fails to reflect tail risk, 2) the lack of compatibility between forecasting tournaments and tail risk assessment methods (such as extreme value theory). More importantly,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-27 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Ron Richman , Marcos Carreira , James Sharpe