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Related papers: On the behavior of Bayesian credible intervals for…

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Our interest is whether two binomial parameters differ, which parameter is larger, and by how much. This apparently simple problem was addressed by Fisher in the 1930's, and has been the subject of many review papers since then. Yet there…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Michael P. Fay , Sally A. Hunsberger

Bayesian classification labels observations based on given prior information, namely class-a priori and class-conditional probabilities. Bayes' risk is the minimum expected classification cost that is achieved by the Bayes' test, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Frank Nielsen

This paper describes the most accurate analytical frequentist assessment to date of the uncertainties in the estimation of physical parameters from gravitational waves generated by non spinning binary systems and Earth-based networks of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-05-29 Salvatore Vitale , Michele Zanolin

Recent studies found that many channels are affected by additive noise that is impulsive in nature and is best explained by heavy-tailed symmetric alpha-stable distributions. Dealing with impulsive noise environments comes with an added…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-07 Jihad Fahs , Ibrahim Abou-Faycal

We consider upper exponential bounds for the probability of the event that an absolute deviation of sample mean from mathematical expectation p is bigger comparing with some ordered level epsilon. These bounds include 2 coefficients {alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-13 Vladimir Nikulin

Random feature methods have been successful in various machine learning tasks, are easy to compute, and come with theoretical accuracy bounds. They serve as an alternative approach to standard neural networks since they can represent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Abolfazl Hashemi , Hayden Schaeffer , Robert Shi , Ufuk Topcu , Giang Tran , Rachel Ward

We propose a Bayesian approach using improper priors for hierarchical linear mixed models with flexible random effects and residual error distributions. The error distribution is modelled using scale mixtures of normals, which can capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

We establish some new non-asymptotical lower bounds for deviation of regular unbiased estimation of unknown parameter from its true value in different norms, alike the classical Rao-Kramer's inequality. We show that if the new norm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Using instruments comprising ordered responses to items are ubiquitous for studying many constructs of interest. However, using such an item response format may lead to items with response categories infrequently endorsed or unendorsed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 R. Noah Padgett , Grant B. Morgan , Tim Lomas

We assume the direct sum <A> o <B> for the signal subspace. As a result of post- measurement, a number of operational contexts presuppose the a priori knowledge of the LB -dimensional "interfering" subspace <B> and the goal is to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-17 Guillaume Bouleux , Rémy Boyer

Pearson's chi-squared test, from 1900, is the standard statistical tool for "hypothesis testing on distributions": namely, given samples from an unknown distribution $Q$ that may or may not equal a hypothesis distribution $P$, we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Trung Dang , Walter McKelvie , Paul Valiant , Hongao Wang

We present a novel and easy-to-use method for calibrating error-rate based confidence intervals to evidence-based support intervals. Support intervals are obtained from inverting Bayes factors based on a parameter estimate and its standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-28 Samuel Pawel , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

We present estimators for smooth Hilbert-valued parameters, where smoothness is characterized by a pathwise differentiability condition. When the parameter space is a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we provide a means to obtain efficient,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Alex Luedtke , Incheoul Chung

Observational astrophysics consists of making inferences about the Universe by comparing data and models. The credible intervals placed on model parameters are often as important as the maximum a posteriori probability values, as the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Will J. Percival , Oliver Friedrich , Elena Sellentin , Alan Heavens

This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about a parameter when a narrow interval centred at a given value of the parameter is considered special, which is interpreted as meaning that there is a substantial degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Russell J. Bowater , Ludmila E. Guzmán-Pantoja

Estimation of multiple parameters in an unknown Hamiltonian is investigated. We present upper and lower bounds on the time required to complete the estimation within a prescribed tolerance $\delta$. The lower bound is given on the basis of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-01-10 Naoto Kura , Masahito Ueda

This note attempts to revisit the classical results on Laplace approximation in a modern non-asymptotic and dimension free form. Such an extension is motivated by applications to high dimensional statistical and optimization problems. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta=(beta_1,..., beta_p) and independent normal errors. Suppose the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta, where a is specified. Define the s-dimensional parameter vector tau…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Davide Farchione

We investigate the frequentist coverage of Bayesian credible sets in a nonparametric setting. We consider a scale of priors of varying regularity and choose the regularity by an empirical Bayes method. Next we consider a central set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Botond Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten
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