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Related papers: Prophet inequalities for i.i.d. random variables w…

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We consider the problem of estimating Ising models over $n$ variables in Total Variation (TV) distance, given $l$ independent samples from the model. While the statistical complexity of the problem is well-understood [DMR20], identifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Constantinos Daskalakis , Vardis Kandiros , Rui Yao

We study the classic single-choice prophet inequality problem through a resource augmentation lens. Our goal is to bound the $(1-\varepsilon)$-competition complexity of different types of online algorithms. This metric asks for the smallest…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Johannes Brustle , José Correa , Paul Dütting , Tomer Ezra , Michal Feldman , Victor Verdugo

Hill and Kertz studied the prophet inequality on iid distributions [The Annals of Probability 1982]. They proved a theoretical bound of $1-\frac{1}{e}$ on the approximation factor of their algorithm. They conjectured that the best…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-06-01 Melika Abolhasani , Soheil Ehsani , Hosein Esfandiari , MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi , Robert Kleinberg , Brendan Lucier

Given a set of independent Poisson random variables with common mean, we study the distribution of their maximum and obtain an accurate asymptotic formula to locate the most probable value of the maximum. We verify our analytic results with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-26 K. M. Briggs , L. Song , T. Prellberg

Let $\{X_{k,i};i\geq 1,k\geq 1\}$ be an array of i.i.d. random variables and let $\{p_n;n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of positive integers such that $n/p_n$ is bounded away from 0 and $\infty$. For $W_n=\max_{1\leq i<j\leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Deli Li , Andrew Rosalsky

The classical problem of maximizing the Shannon entropy of a sum of independent random variables supported on a finite alphabet is considered and settled in the ternary case. Namely, the following theorem is established: if…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Mladen Kovačević

The ratio $P(S_n=x)/P(Z_n=x)$ is investigated for three cases: (a) when $S_n$ is a sum of 1-dependent non-negative integer-valued random variables (rvs), satisfying some moment conditions, and $Z_n$ is Poisson rv; (b) when $S_n$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Vydas Čekanavičius , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

We consider a run-and-tumble particle (RTP) in one dimension, subjected to a telegraphic noise with a constant rate $\gamma$, and in the presence of an external confining potential $V(x) = \alpha |x|^p$ with $p \geq 1$. We compute the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-25 Mathis Guéneau , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

For an arbitrary diffusion process $X$ with time-homogeneous drift and variance parameters $\mu(x)$ and $\sigma^2(x)$, let $V_\varepsilon$ be $1/\varepsilon$ times the total time $X(t)$ spends in the strip…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Nils Lid Hjort , Rafail Zalmonovich Khasminskii

Let $ V_{n} = X_{1,n} + X_{2,n} + \cdots + X_{n,n}$ where $X_{i,n}$ are Bernoulli random variables which take the value $1$ with probability $b(i;n)$. Let $\lambda_{n} = \sum\limits_{i=1}^{n} b(i;n) $, $\lambda = \lim\limits_{n \to \infty}…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Italo Simonelli , Lucia D. Simonelli

We consider a dynamic programming problem with arbitrary state space and bounded rewards. Is it possible to define in an unique way a limit value for the problem, where the "patience" of the decision-maker tends to infinity ? We consider,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Jérôme Renault

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots $ be independent random variables observed sequentially and such that $X_1,\ldots,X_{\theta-1}$ have a common probability density $p_0$, while $X_\theta,X_{\theta+1},\ldots $ are all distributed according to $p_1\neq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-25 Yuri Golubev , Mher Safarian

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

We analyze an optimal stopping problem with random maturity under a nonlinear expectation with respect to a weakly compact set of mutually singular probabilities $\mathcal{P}$. The maturity is specified as the hitting time to level $0$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-08 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

Let $X_n,...,X_1$ be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function $F$. A statistician, knowing $F$, observes the $X$ values sequentially and is given two chances to choose $X$'s using stopping rules. The statistician's goal is to stop…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 David Assaf , Larry Goldstein , Ester Samuel-Cahn

We initiate the study of the prophet inequality problem through the resource augmentation framework in scenarios when the values of the rewards are correlated. Our goal is to determine the number of additional rewards an online algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Tomer Ezra , Tamar Garbuz

Prophet inequalities compare the expected performance of an online algorithm for a stochastic optimization problem to the expected optimal solution in hindsight. They are a major alternative to classic worst-case competitive analysis, of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Paul Dütting , Thomas Kesselheim , Brendan Lucier

In a classical optimal stopping problem in continuous time, the agent can choose any stopping time without constraint. Dupuis and Wang (Optimal stopping with random intervention times, Advances in Applied Probability, 34, 141--157, 2002)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ $d >2$, having increments $e_1$, $-e_i+e_{i+1}$ $i=1,2,3,...,d-1$ and $-e_d$ with probabilities $\lambda$, $\mu_1$, $\mu_2$,...,$\mu_d$, where $\{e_1,e_2,..,e_d\}$ are the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ali Devin Sezer

Various optimality properties of universal sequence predictors based on Bayes-mixtures in general, and Solomonoff's prediction scheme in particular, will be studied. The probability of observing $x_t$ at time $t$, given past observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter