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The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walks, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Balazs Szekely , Tamas Szabados

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments, with an environment generated by the time-reversal of a Markov process from the oriented percolation universality class. If the influence of the random medium on the walk is small in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Matthias Birkner , Jiří Černý , Andrej Depperschmidt

We propose a method based on continuous time Markov chain approximation to compute the distribution of Parisian stopping times and price Parisian options under general one-dimensional Markov processes. We prove the convergence of the method…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Gongqiu Zhang , Lingfei Li

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

The statistics of first-passage times of random walks to target sites has proved to play a key role in determining the kinetics of space exploration in various contexts. In parallel, the number of distinct sites visited by a random walker…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-23 J. Klinger , A. Barbier-Chebbah , R. Voituriez , O. Bénichou

We prove that for a random walk on the real line whose increments have zero mean and are either integer-valued or spread out (i.e. the distributions of the steps of the walk are eventually non-singular), the Markov chain of overshoots above…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Aleksandar Mijatović , Vladislav Vysotsky

We consider time-continuous Markovian discrete-state dynamics on random networks of interacting agents and study the large population limit. The dynamics are projected onto low-dimensional collective variables given by the shares of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Marvin Lücke , Jobst Heitzig , Péter Koltai , Nora Molkenthin , Stefanie Winkelmann

We consider Markovian models on graphs with local dynamics. We show that, under suitable conditions, such Markov chains exhibit both rapid convergence to equilibrium and strong concentration of measure in the stationary distribution. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-30 Malwina J. Luczak

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

For finite size Markov chains, the Donsker-Varadhan theory fully describes the large deviations of the time averaged empirical measure. We are interested in the extension of the Donsker-Varadhan theory for a large size non-equilibrium…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Thierry Bodineau , Benoit Dagallier

We study Markov chains on a lattice in a codimension-one stratified independent random environment, exploiting results established in [2]. First of all the random walk is transient in dimension at least three. Focusing on dimension two,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Julien Brémont

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

Through a Metropolis-like algorithm with single step computational cost of order one, we build a Markov chain that relaxes to the canonical Fermi statistics for k non-interacting particles among m energy levels. Uniformly over the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Alexandre Gaudilliere , Julien Reygner

We prove the convergence of the law of grid-valued random walks, which can be seen as time-space Markov chains, to the law of a general diffusion process. This includes processes with sticky features, reflecting or absorbing boundaries and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Alexis Anagnostakis , Antoine Lejay , Denis Villemonais

In this paper we give an explicit expression for the local time of the classical risk process and associate it with the density of an occupational measure. To do so, we approximate the local time by a suitable sequence of absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-15 F. Cortes , J. A. León , J. Villa

We consider finite dimensional rough differential equations driven by centered Gaussian processes. Combining Malliavin calculus, rough paths techniques and interpolation inequalities, we establish upper bounds on the density of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Benjamin Gess , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We obtain an upper escape rate function for a continuous time minimal symmetric Markov chain, defined on a locally finite weighted graph. This upper rate function is given in terms of volume growth with respect to an adapted path metric and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Xueping Huang , Yuichi Shiozawa

Density dependent families of Markov chains, such as the stochastic models of mass-action chemical kinetics, converge for large values of the indexing parameter $N$ to deterministic systems of differential equations (Kurtz, 1970). Moreover…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Enrico Bibbona , Roberta Sirovich

Convergence analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in high-dimensional statistical applications is increasingly recognized. In this paper, we develop general mixing time bounds for Metropolis-Hastings algorithms on discrete spaces by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-29 Hyunwoong Chang , Quan Zhou