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We investigate the optimization landscape of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for the Cavender-Farris-Neyman (CFN) model, a two-state latent tree model fundamental to statistical phylogenetics and the ferromagnetic Ising model. Although…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 David Clancy , Hanbaek Lyu , Sebastien Roch

We study likelihood-based inference for the anisotropic hyperbolic wrapped normal distribution on standard hyperbolic space. The model has a manifold-valued location parameter and a full positive definite covariance matrix in tangent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-04 Kisung You

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

We consider mark-recapture-recovery (MRR) data of animals where the model parameters are a function of individual time-varying continuous covariates. For such covariates, the covariate value is unobserved if the corresponding individual is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Roland Langrock , Ruth King

We consider a general multivariate model where univariate marginal distributions are known up to a parameter vector and we are interested in estimating that parameter vector without specifying the joint distribution, except for the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-01 Ivan Medovikov , Valentyn Panchenko , Artem Prokhorov

We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Takumi Saegusa , Jon A. Wellner

We consider regression models involving multilayer perceptrons (MLP) with one hidden layer and a Gaussian noise. The data are assumed to be generated by a true MLP model and the estimation of the parameters of the MLP is done by maximizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Joseph Rynkiewicz

In regression models for spatial data, it is often assumed that the marginal effects of covariates on the response are constant over space. In practice, this assumption might often be questionable. In this article, we show how a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-13 Jakob A. Dambon , Fabio Sigrist , Reinhard Furrer

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is the most common approach to quantum state tomography. In this letter, we investigate whether it is also optimal in any sense. We show that MLE is an inadmissible estimator for most of the commonly used…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-06 Christopher Ferrie , Robin Blume-Kohout

We describe Monte Carlo approximation to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants and explanatory variables. We consider both sources of randomness (due to the initial sample and to Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

Likelihood-free inference methods based on neural conditional density estimation were shown to drastically reduce the simulation burden in comparison to classical methods such as ABC. When applied in the context of any latent variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Consider a setting with $N$ independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, $p_i \in [0, 1]$ drawn from some unknown distribution $P^\star$. After observing the outcomes of $t$ independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., $X_i \sim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant , Sham M. Kakade

In this article, we present the maximum weighted likelihood estimator (MWLE) for robust estimations of heavy-tail finite mixture models (FMM). This is motivated by the complex distributional phenomena of insurance claim severity data, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Tsz Chai Fung

The challenges posed by complex stochastic models used in computational ecology, biology and genetics have stimulated the development of approximate approaches to statistical inference. Here we focus on Synthetic Likelihood (SL), a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-09 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood , Florian Hartig , Mark V. Bravington

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Parameters defined via general estimating equations (GEE) can be estimated by maximizing the empirical likelihood (EL). Newey and Smith [Econometrica 72 (2004) 219--255] have recently shown that this EL estimator exhibits desirable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-19 Susanne M. Schennach

The problem of nonlinear functional of parameters, such as differential entropy, has received much attention in information theory and statistics. In many situations, prior information about the parameters is available in the form of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Somnath Mandal , Lakshmi Kanta Patra