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Related papers: ANOVA for diffusions and It\^{o} processes

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Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is an extremely important method in exploratory and confirmatory data analysis. Unfortunately, in complex problems (e.g., split-plot designs), it is not always easy to set up an appropriate ANOVA. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Andrew Gelman

Diffusion models are loosely modelled based on non-equilibrium thermodynamics, where \textit{diffusion} refers to particles flowing from high-concentration regions towards low-concentration regions. In statistics, the meaning is quite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Inga Strümke , Helge Langseth

For a semi-martingale $X_t$, which forms a stochastic boundary, a rate-optimal estimator for its quadratic variation $\langle X, X \rangle_t$ is constructed based on observations in the vicinity of $X_t$. The problem is embedded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Markus Reiß

This paper introduces unified models for high-dimensional factor-based Ito process, which can accommodate both continuous-time Ito diffusion and discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models by embedding the discrete SV model in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-23 Donggyu Kim , Xinyu Song , Yazhen Wang

In this paper we present a slight modification of the Fourier estimation method of the spot volatility (matrix) process of a continuous It\^o semimartingale where the estimators are always non-negative definite. Since the estimators are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-02 Jirô Akahori , Nien-Lin Liu , Maria Elvira Mancino , Yukie Yasuda

Anomalous diffusion, process in which the mean-squared displacement of system states is a non-linear function of time, is usually identified in real stochastic processes by comparing experimental and theoretical displacements at relatively…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Serge F. Timashev , Yuriy S. Polyakov , Pavel I. Misurkin , Sergey G. Lakeev

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of processes with switching. More precisely, the stability under fast switching for diffusion processes and discrete state space Markovian processes is considered. The proofs are based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu

The paper studies a class of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes on the classical Wiener space. These processes are associated with a diffusion type Dirichlet form whose corresponding diffusion operator is unbounded in the Cameron-Martin space. It…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-23 John Karlsson , Jörg-Uwe Löbus

Point processes often have a natural interpretation with respect to a continuous process. We propose a point process construction that describes arrival time observations in terms of the state of a latent diffusion process. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-02 Ali Hasan , Yu Chen , Yuting Ng , Mohamed Abdelghani , Anderson Schneider , Vahid Tarokh

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

We present a novel backward It{\^o}-Ventzell formula and an extension of the Aleeksev-Gr\"obner interpolating formula to stochastic flows. We also present some natural spectral conditions that yield direct and simple proofs of time uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Pierre del Moral , Sumeetpal Sidhu Singh

We discuss diffusion properties of a dynamical system, which is characterised by long-tail distributions and finite correlations. The particle velocity has the stable L\'evy distribution; it is assumed as a jumping process (the kangaroo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 Tomasz Srokowski

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, when one only has access to time-discretized solutions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra

We consider a square-integrable semimartingale and investigate the convex order relations between its discrete, continuous and predictable quadratic variation. As the main results, we show that if the semimartingale has conditionally…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-03 Martin Keller-Ressel , Claus Griessler

We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-07 Johannes A. Kassel , Benjamin Walter , Holger Kantz

The paper studies a non-linear transformation between Brownian martingales, which is given by the inverse of the pricing operator in the mathematical finance terminology. Subsequently, the solvability of systems of equations corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Motivated by contemporary and rich applications of anomalous diffusion processes we propose a new statistical test for fractional Brownian motion, which is one of the most popular models for anomalous diffusion systems. The test is based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-17 Grzegorz Sikora

We consider statistical inference in factor analysis for ergodic and non-ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Factor model based on high frequency time series data has been mainly discussed in the field of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock
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