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In this paper, we obtain quantitative, non-asymptotic, and data-dependent \textit{Bernstein-von Mises type} bounds on the normal approximation of the posterior distribution in exponential family models with arbitrary centring and scaling.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

The designation ``Bernstein-von Mises theorem'' is apparently due to Lucien Le Cam. Roughly, the assertion of this theorem states that the posterior distribution of a parameter, conditioned on a large sample, is approximately normal,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Hans Fischer

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a convex hazard function. We show that the MLE is consistent and converges at a local rate of $n^{2/5}$ at points $x_0$ where the true hazard function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hanna K. Jankowski , Jon A. Wellner

A model of Poissonian observation having a jump (change-point) in the intensity function is considered. Two cases are studied. The first one corresponds to the situation when the jump size converges to a non-zero limit, while in the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Lin Yang

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

Estimation of the population size $n$ from $k$ i.i.d.\ binomial observations with unknown success probability $p$ is relevant to a multitude of applications and has a long history. Without additional prior information this is a notoriously…

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Normalized random measures with independent increments represent a large class of Bayesian nonaprametric priors and are widely used in the Bayesian nonparametric framework. In this paper, we provide the posterior consistency analysis for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-24 Junxi Zhang , Yaozhong Hu

In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian approach for nonparametric estimation in Wicksell's problem. This has important applications in astronomy for estimating the distribution of the positions of the stars in a galaxy given projected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Francesco Gili , Geurt Jongbloed , Aad van der Vaart

Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Moumita Chakraborty , Subhashis Ghosal

The maximum likelihood principle is widely used in statistics, and the associated estimators often display good properties. indeed maximum likelihood estimators are guaranteed to be asymptotically efficient under mild conditions. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet

Many insurance premium principles are defined and various estimation procedures introduced in the literature. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the excess-of-loss reinsurance premium when the risks are randomly right-censored.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-30 Louiza Soltane , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We study frequentist properties of a Bayesian high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model with correlated responses. The predictors are separated into many groups and the group structure is pre-determined. Two features of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Bo Ning , Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

We show that the mean-model parameter is always orthogonal to the error distribution in generalized linear models. Thus, the maximum likelihood estimator of the mean-model parameter will be asymptotically efficient regardless of whether the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Alan Huang , Paul J. Rathouz

We consider the Cox regression model and prove some properties of the maximum partial likelihood estimator $\hat\beta_n$ and of the the Breslow estimator $\Lambda_n$. The asymptotic properties of these estimators have been widely studied in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-20 Cécile Durot , Eni Musta

Laplacian-P-splines (LPS) associate the P-splines smoother and the Laplace approximation in a unifying framework for fast and flexible inference under the Bayesian paradigm. Gaussian Markov field priors imposed on penalized latent variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Philippe Lambert , Oswaldo Gressani

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

In this paper, we present the Bayesian inference procedures for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model derived under the assumption of an elliptically contoured distribution when the Berger and Bernardo reference and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

Regular and rapid variation have been extensively studied in the literature and applied across various fields, particularly in extreme value theory. In this paper, we examine regular and rapid variation through the lens of generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Haijun Li
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