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We show that all multivariate Extreme Value distributions, which are the possible weak limits of the $K$ largest order statistics of iid sequences, have the same copula, the so called K-extremal copula. This copula is described through…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Glauco Valle , Marco Aurelio Sanfins

We assume that we have multiple ordinal time series and we would like to specify their joint distribution. In general it is difficult to create multivariate distribution that can be easily used to jointly model ordinal variables and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis

The distribution function of the sum $Z$ of two standard normally distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is computed with the concept of copulas to model the dependency between $X$ and $Y$. By using implicit copulas such as the Gauss- or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-02 Walter Schneider

This article proposes a bivariate Simplex distribution for modeling continuous outcomes constrained to the interval $(0,1)$, which can represent proportions, rates, or indices. We derive analytical expressions to calculate the dependence…

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

In this paper, we revisit the notion of partial copula, originally introduced to test conditional independence, highlighting its capability to represent the dependence between two random variables after removing their dependence with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Vinícius Litvinoff Justus , Felipe Fontana Vieira

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Clara Grazian , Luciana Dalla Valle , Brunero Liseo

Continuation refers to the operation by which the cumulative distribution function of a discontinuous random vector is made continuous through multilinear interpolation. The copula that results from the application of this technique to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Christian Genest , Johanna G. Nešlehová , Bruno Rémillard

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

In this paper an analytic expression is given for the bounds of the distribution function of the sum of dependent normally distributed random variables. Using the theory of copulas and the important Frechet bounds the dependence structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-26 Walter Schneider

As a motivating problem, we aim to study some special aspects of the marginal distributions of the order statistics for exchangeable and (more generally) for minimally stable non-negative random variables $T_{1},...,T_{r}$. In any case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Rachele Foschi , Giovanna Nappo , Fabio L. Spizzichino

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric bivariate dependence measures, we propose a new set of conditions on nonsymmetric multivariate dependence measures which characterize both independence and complete dependence of one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-04 Hui Li

Copulas are functions that describe dependence structures of random vectors, without describing their univariate marginals. In statistics, the separation is sometimes useful, the quality and/or quantity of available information on these two…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-14 Oskar Laverny , Santiago Jimenez

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

This paper deals with dependence across marginally exponentially distributed arrival times, such as default times in financial modeling or inter-failure times in reliability theory. We explore the relationship between dependence and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Damiano Brigo , Kyriakos Chourdakis

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric dependence measures, we introduce similar measures for discrete random variables. The measures cover the range between two extremes: independence and complete dependence, which take…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hui Li

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan