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Phylogenetic inference, the task of reconstructing how related sequences evolved from common ancestors, is a central objective in evolutionary genomics. The current state-of-the-art methods exploit probabilistic models of sequence evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Luc Blassel , Noémie Sauvage , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Bastien Boussau , Nicolas Lartillot , Laurent Jacob

If predictions for species extinctions hold, then the `tree of life' today may be quite different to that in (say) 100 years. We describe a technique to quantify how much each species is likely to contribute to future biodiversity, as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mike Steel , Aki Mimoto , Arne O. Mooers

We consider the task of learning Ising models when the signs of different random variables are flipped independently with possibly unequal, unknown probabilities. In this paper, we focus on the problem of robust estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Ashish Katiyar , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis

Coalescent histories are combinatorial structures that describe for a given gene tree and species tree the possible lists of branches of the species tree on which the gene tree coalescences take place. Properties of the number of coalescent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-13 Filippo Disanto , Noah A. Rosenberg

The Persistent-Phylogeny Model is an extension of the widely studied Perfect-Phylogeny Model, encompassing a broader range of evolutionary phenomena. Biological and algorithmic questions concerning persistent phylogeny have been intensely…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Dan Gusfield

Stochastic modeling of phylogenies raises five questions that have received varying levels of attention from quantitatively inclined biologists. 1) How large do we expect (from the model) the ration of maximum historical diversity to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-07 Lea Popovic , Maxim Krikun , David Aldous

Given a gene-tree labeled topology $G$ and a species tree $S$, the "ancestral configurations" at an internal node $k$ of $S$ represent the combinatorially different sets of gene lineages that can be present at $k$ when all possible…

A learning algorithm is presented which given the structure of a causal tree, will estimate its link probabilities by sequential measurements on the leaves only. Internal nodes of the tree represent conceptual (hidden) variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Igor Roizer , Judea Pearl

Identifying undocumented or potential future interactions among species is a challenge facing modern ecologists. Recent link prediction methods rely on trait data, however large species interaction databases are typically sparse and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Mohamad Elmasri , Maxwell J. Farrell , T. Jonathan Davies , David A. Stephens

Preferential attachment is a popular generative mechanism to explain the widespread observation of power law distributed networks. We introduce an alternative explanation for the phenomenon by allowing the link growth rates to vary across…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-18 Birgitte Freiesleben de Blasio , Odd O Aalen

A model of genomic sequence evolution on a species tree should include not only a sequence substitution process, but also a coalescent process, since different sites may evolve on different gene trees due to incomplete lineage sorting.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-15 Elizabeth A. Allman , Colby Long , John A. Rhodes

Forward-time models of diversification (i.e., speciation and extinction) produce phylogenetic trees that grow "vertically" as time goes by. Pruning the extinct lineages out of such trees leads to natural models for reconstructed trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-07 Amaury Lambert , Tanja Stadler

Null models of binary phylogenetic trees are useful for testing hypotheses on real world phylogenies. In this paper we consider phylogenies as binary trees without edge lengths together with a sampling measure and encode them as algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Josué Nussbaumer , Anita Winter

For a family of models of evolving population under selection, which can be described by noisy traveling wave equations, the coalescence times along the genealogical tree scale like $\log^\alpha N$, where $N$ is the size of the population,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Brunet , B. Derrida , A. H. Mueller , S. Munier

Phylogenetic networks provide a means of describing the evolutionary history of sets of species believed to have undergone hybridization or gene flow during their evolution. The mutation process for a set of such species can be modeled as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-23 Travis Barton , Elizabeth Gross , Colby Long , Joseph Rusinko

Fixed tree topologies are widely used in phylodynamic analyses to reduce computational burden, yet the consequences of this assumption remain insufficiently understood. Here, we systematically assess the impact of various fixed-topology…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-01 Mathieu Fourment , Jiansi Gao , Marc A Suchard , Frederick A Matsen

Diversification models describe the random growth of evolutionary trees, modeling the historical relationships of species through speciation and extinction events. One class of such models allows for independently changing traits, or types,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Dakota Dragomir , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

In phylogenetics, tree-based networks are used to model and visualize the evolutionary history of species where reticulate events such as horizontal gene transfer have occurred. Formally, a tree-based network $N$ consists of a phylogenetic…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-08-21 Jonathan Klawitter , Peter Stumpf

Species tree reconstruction is complicated by effects of Incomplete Lineage Sorting (ILS), commonly modeled by the multi-species coalescent model. While there has been substantial progress in developing methods that estimate a species tree…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-10 Erfan Sayyari , Siavash Mirarab

The use of fossil evidence to calibrate divergence time estimation has a long history. More recently Bayesian MCMC has become the dominant method of divergence time estimation and fossil evidence has been re-interpreted as the specification…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-03-31 Heled Joseph , Alexei Drummond
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