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Causality and causal inference have emerged as core research areas at the interface of modern statistics and domains including biomedical sciences, social sciences, computer science, and beyond. The field's inherently interdisciplinary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Carlos Cinelli , Avi Feller , Guido Imbens , Edward Kennedy , Sara Magliacane , Jose Zubizarreta

Within psychology, neuroscience and artificial intelligence, there has been increasing interest in the proposal that the brain builds probabilistic models of sensory and linguistic input: that is, to infer a probabilistic model from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Paul M. B. Vitanyi , Nick Chater

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

One of the greatest contributors of the 20th century among all academician in the field of statistical finance, M. F. M. Osborne published in 1956 [6] an essential paper and proposed to treat the question of stock market motion through the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-02 Geoffrey Ducournau

The main features of the statistical approach to inverse problems are described on the example of a linear model with additive noise. The approach does not use any Bayesian hypothesis regarding an unknown object; instead, the standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-05 V. Yu. Terebizh

The mission of statistics is to provide adequate statistical hypotheses (models) for observed data. But what is an "adequate" model? To answer this question, one needs to use the notions of algorithmic information theory. It turns out that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-28 Nikolay Vereshchagin , Alexander Shen

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

Stochastic approximation algorithms are iterative procedures which are used to approximate a target value in an environment where the target is unknown and direct observations are corrupted by noise. These algorithms are useful, for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Koundinya Vajjha , Barry Trager , Avraham Shinnar , Vasily Pestun

The problem of using proximity (similarity or dissimilarity) data for the purpose of "adding a point to a vector diagram" was first studied by J.C. Gower in 1968. Since then, a number of methods -- mostly kernel methods -- have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Michael W. Trosset , Kaiyi Tan , Minh Tang , Carey E. Priebe

Curve fitting is a fundamental technique in engineering and scientific research, serving as a critical tool for extracting insights from data. This study explores the application of various statistical equations to estimate outcomes in…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Hamidreza Moradi , Hamideh Hossei , Erfan Kefayat

In many statistical applications that concern mathematical psychologists, the concept of Fisher information plays an important role. In this tutorial we clarify the concept of Fisher information as it manifests itself across three different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Alexander Ly , Maarten Marsman , Josine Verhagen , Raoul Grasman , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

One can argue that one of the main roles of the subject of statistics is to characterize what the evidence in collected data says about questions of scientific interest. There are two broad questions that we will refer to as the estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Michael Evans

Fisher's likelihood is widely used for statistical inference for fixed unknowns. This paper aims to extend two important likelihood-based methods, namely the maximum likelihood procedure for point estimation and the confidence procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Hangbin Lee , Youngjo Lee

Hierarchical models allow for heterogeneous behaviours in a population while simultaneously borrowing estimation strength across all subpopulations. Unfortunately, existing likelihood-based methods for fitting hierarchical models have high…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-16 Patrick O. Perry

We introduce statistical constraints, a declarative modelling tool that links statistics and constraint programming. We discuss two statistical constraints and some associated filtering algorithms. Finally, we illustrate applications to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-09-09 Roberto Rossi , Steven Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim

Prior distributions elicited for modelling the natural fluctuations or the uncertainty on parameters of Bayesian fishery population models, can be chosen among a vast range of statistical laws. Since the statistical framework is defined by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Nicolas Bousquet

The reconstruction of the parameter of the model by the measurement of the random variable depending on this parameter is one of the main tasks of statistics. In the paper the notion of the statistically dual distributions is introduced.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. I. Bityukov , V. V. Smirnova , V. A. Taperechkina

Performative prediction, as introduced by Perdomo et al, is a framework for studying social prediction in which the data distribution itself changes in response to the deployment of a model. Existing work in this field usually hinges on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Yatong Chen , Wei Tang , Chien-Ju Ho , Yang Liu

Topological statistical theory provides the foundation for a modern mathematical reformulation of classical statistical theory: Structural Statistics emphasizes the structural assumptions that accompany distribution families and the set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Patrick Michl

The statistical machine learning community has demonstrated considerable resourcefulness over the years in developing highly expressive tools for estimation, prediction, and inference. The bedrock assumptions underlying these developments…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Alnur Ali , Maxime Cauchois , John C. Duchi
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