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We investigate asymptotically optimal multiple testing procedures for streams of sequential data in the context of prior information on the number of false null hypotheses ("signals"). We show that the "gap" and "gap-intersection"…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Xinrui He , Jay Bartroff

We study online multiple testing with feedback, where decisions are made sequentially and the true state of the hypothesis is revealed after the decision has been made, either instantly or with a delay. We propose GAIF, a feedback-enhanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Lin Lu , Yuyang Huo , Haojie Ren , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

Recent tools for interactive data exploration significantly increase the chance that users make false discoveries. The crux is that these tools implicitly allow the user to test a large body of different hypotheses with just a few clicks…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Zheguang Zhao , Lorenzo De Stefani , Emanuel Zgraggen , Carsten Binnig , Eli Upfal , Tim Kraska

We consider problems where many, somewhat redundant, hypotheses are tested and we are interested in reporting the most precise rejections, with false discovery rate (FDR) control. This is the case, for example, when researchers are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Paula Gablenz , Chiara Sabatti

In many applications, the process of identifying a specific feature of interest often involves testing multiple hypotheses for their joint statistical significance. Examples include mediation analysis which simultaneously examines the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Linsui Deng , Kejun He , Xianyang Zhang

Statistical dependence between hypotheses poses a significant challenge to the stability of large scale multiple hypotheses testing. Ignoring it often results in an unacceptably large spread in the false positive proportion even though the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-15 Sairam Rayaprolu , Zhiyi Chi

This paper introduces the sequential CRT, which is a variable selection procedure that combines the conditional randomization test (CRT) and Selective SeqStep+. Valid p-values are constructed via the flexible CRT, which are then ordered and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Shuangning Li , Emmanuel J. Candès

In a recent simulation study, Goodman et al. (2019) compare several methods with regard to their type I and type II error rates in case of a thick null hypothesis that includes all values that are practically equivalent to the point null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Robin Tim Dreher , Leona Hoffmann , Arne Kramer-Sunderbrink , Peter Pütz , Robin Werner

Estimating local false discovery rates (fdr) is central to large-scale multiple hypothesis testing, yet different methods often produce divergent results, and there is little guidance for selecting among them. Because ground truth…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Jenna M. Landy , Giovanni Parmigiani

Penalized regression methods are an attractive tool for high-dimensional data analysis, but their widespread adoption has been hampered by the difficulty of applying inferential tools. In particular, the question "How reliable is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Patrick Breheny

Modern scientific technology has provided a new class of large-scale simultaneous inference problems, with thousands of hypothesis tests to consider at the same time. Microarrays epitomize this type of technology, but similar situations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Bradley Efron

Responding appropriately to the detections of a sequential change detector requires knowledge of the rate at which false positives occur in the absence of change. Setting detection thresholds to achieve a desired false positive rate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Oliver Cobb , Arnaud Van Looveren , Janis Klaise

The problem of multiple endpoint testing for k endpoints is treated as a 2^k finite action problem. The loss function chosen is a vector loss function consisting of two components. The two components lead to a vector risk. One component of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arthur Cohen , Harold B. Sackrowitz

In large scale multiple testing, the use of an empirical null distribution rather than the theoretical null distribution can be critical for correct inference. This paper proposes a ``mode matching'' method for fitting an empirical null…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-27 Armin Schwartzman

In multiple hypothesis testing, the volume of data, defined as the number of replications per null times the total number of nulls, usually defines the amount of resource required. On the other hand, power is an important measure of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-05 Zhiyi Chi

The False Discovery Rate (FDR) paradigm aims to attain certain control on Type I errors with relatively high power for multiple hypothesis testing. The Benjamini--Hochberg (BH) procedure is a well-known FDR controlling procedure. Under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Zhiyi Chi

A central problem in Binary Hypothesis Testing (BHT) is to determine the optimal tradeoff between the Type I error (referred to as false alarm) and Type II (referred to as miss) error. In this context, the exponential rate of convergence of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Pablo Piantanida

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a critical challenge in large-scale data analysis, particularly in the presence of outliers. A common practice involves imposing a Student-$t$ distribution to eliminate the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yoshiko Hayashi

This paper introduces novel weighted conformal p-values and methods for model-free selective inference. The problem is as follows: given test units with covariates $X$ and missing responses $Y$, how do we select units for which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Ying Jin , Emmanuel J. Candès

Consider the online testing of a stream of hypotheses where a real--time decision must be made before the next data point arrives. The error rate is required to be controlled at {all} decision points. Conventional \emph{simultaneous testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 Bowen Gang , Wenguang Sun , Weinan Wang