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A new forecasting method based on the concept of the profile predictive the likelihood function is proposed for discrete-valued processes. In particular, generalized autoregressive and moving average (GARMA) models for Poisson distributed…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Siuli Mukhopadhyay , V. Sathish

Missing data are inevitable in clinical trials, and trials that produce categorical ordinal responses are not exempted from this. Typically, missing values in the data occur due to different missing mechanisms, such as missing completely at…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Arnab Kumar Maity , Huaming Tan , Vivek Pradhan , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Estimation for the log-logistic and Weibull distributions can be performed by using the equations used for probability plotting. The equations leads to highly heteroscedastic regression. Exact expressions for the variances of the residuals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-06 J. M. van Zyl

We describe stochastic Newton and stochastic quasi-Newton approaches to efficiently solve large linear least-squares problems where the very large data sets present a significant computational burden (e.g., the size may exceed computer…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Julianne Chung , Matthias Chung , J. Tanner Slagel , Luis Tenorio

Decision trees are a popular family of models due to their attractive properties such as interpretability and ability to handle heterogeneous data. Concurrently, missing data is a prevalent occurrence that hinders performance of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Pasha Khosravi , Antonio Vergari , YooJung Choi , Yitao Liang , Guy Van den Broeck

The use of massive survival data has become common in survival analysis. In this study, a subsampling algorithm is proposed for the Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates when the sample is extraordinarily large but…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-07 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Feng Xiao , Cunjie Lin , Yong Zhou

With a rapid increase in volume and complexity of data sets, there is a need for methods that can extract useful information, for example the relationship between two data sets measured for the same persons. The Partial Least Squares (PLS)…

Contingency tables are a fundamental representation of multivariate categorical data. As the size of the contingency table grows exponentially with the number of variables, even a moderate number of variables, each with a moderate number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Veronica Vinciotti , Ernst C. Wit

A new approach for feature extraction from time series is proposed in this paper. This approach consists of a specific regression model incorporating a discrete hidden logistic process. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

The logistic regression estimator is known to inflate the magnitude of its coefficients if the sample size $n$ is small, the dimension $p$ is (moderately) large or the signal-to-noise ratio $1/\sigma$ is large (probabilities of observing a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-01 Felix Kuchelmeister , Sara van de Geer

A composite likelihood is a non-genuine likelihood function that allows to make inference on limited aspects of a model, such as marginal or conditional distributions. Composite likelihoods are not proper likelihoods and need therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-06 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato , Nicola Sartori

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

Recent work in scalable approximate Gaussian process regression has discussed a bias-variance-computation trade-off when estimating the log marginal likelihood. We suggest a method that adaptively selects the amount of computation to use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-21 David R. Burt , Artem Artemev , Mark van der Wilk

Also known as likelihood-free methods, approximate Bayesian computational (ABC) methods have appeared in the past ten years as the most satisfactory approach to untractable likelihood problems, first in genetics then in a broader spectrum…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder

In many biomedical applications, outcome is measured as a ``time-to-event'' (eg. disease progression or death). To assess the connection between features of a patient and this outcome, it is common to assume a proportional hazards model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Aliasghar Tarkhan , Noah Simon

Despite widespread success in language understanding and generation, large language models (LLMs) exhibit unclear and often inconsistent behavior when faced with tasks that require probabilistic reasoning. In this work, we present the first…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mobina Pournemat , Keivan Rezaei , Gaurang Sriramanan , Arman Zarei , Jiaxiang Fu , Yang Wang , Hamid Eghbalzadeh , Soheil Feizi

Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Anna Sokol , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh Chawla

We present a linear regression method for predictions on a small data set making use of a second possibly biased data set that may be much larger. Our method fits linear regressions to the two data sets while penalizing the difference…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 Aiyou Chen , Art B. Owen , Minghui Shi
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