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The space of probability distributions on a given sample space possesses natural geometric properties. For example, in the case of a smooth parametric family of probability distributions on the real line, the parameter space has a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston

Variational inference in probabilistic graphical models aims to approximate fundamental quantities such as marginal distributions and the partition function. Popular approaches are the Bethe approximation, tree-reweighted, and other types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Harald Leisenberger , Franz Pernkopf

In information theory, one major goal is to find useful functions that summarize the amount of information contained in the interaction of several random variables. Specifically, one can ask how the classical Shannon entropy, mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Leon Lang , Pierre Baudot , Rick Quax , Patrick Forré

We introduce the notion of the essential tangent bundle of a parametrized measure model and the notion of reduced Fisher metric on a (possibly singular) 2-integrable measure model. Using these notions and a new characterization of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Jürgen Jost , Hông Vân Lê , Lorenz Schwachhöfer

In this article, we study the fluctuations of the random variable: $$ {\mathcal I}_n(\rho) = \frac 1N \log\det(\Sigma_n \Sigma_n^* + \rho I_N),\quad (\rho>0) $$ where $\Sigma_n= n^{-1/2} D_n^{1/2} X_n\tilde D_n^{1/2} +A_n$, as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Walid Hachem , Malika Kharouf , Jamal Najim , Jack W. Silverstein

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

Complex analysis is a powerful tool to study classical integrable systems, statistical physics on the random lattice, random matrix theory, topological string theory,... All these topics share certain relations, called "loop equations" or…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-10-10 Gaëtan Borot

In this work a new strategy is proposed in order to build analytic and microscopic models of fluctuating polymer rings subjected to topological constraints. The topological invariants used to fix these constraints belong to a wide class of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-08 Franco Ferrari

In a previous paper (C. Cafaro et al., 2012), we compared an uncorrelated 3D Gaussian statistical model to an uncorrelated 2D Gaussian statistical model obtained from the former model by introducing a constraint that resembles the quantum…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-17 Adom Giffin , S. A. Ali , Carlo Cafaro

In this paper and a companion paper, we show how the framework of information geometry, a geometry of discrete probability distributions, can form the basis of a derivation of the quantum formalism. The derivation rests upon a few…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-02-14 Philip Goyal

We extend the well-known and widely used Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) by including nodal random effects to compensate for heterogeneity in the nodes of a network. The Bayesian framework for ERGMs proposed by Caimo and Friel (2011)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-13 Stephanie Thiemichen , Nial Friel , Alberto Caimo , Göran Kauermann

Motivated by the presence of deep connections among dynamical equations, experimental data, physical systems, and statistical modeling, we report on a series of findings uncovered by the Authors and collaborators during the last decade…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-22 Sean Alan Ali , Carlo Cafaro , Steven Gassner , Adom Giffin

We model the transmission of a message on the complete graph with n vertices and limited resources. The vertices of the graph represent servers that may broadcast the message at random. Each server has a random emission capital that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Francis Comets , François Delarue , René Schott

Statistical inference more often than not involves models which are non-linear in the parameters thus leading to non-Gaussian posteriors. Many computational and analytical tools exist that can deal with non-Gaussian distributions, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-01-20 Eileen Giesel , Robert Reischke , Björn Malte Schäfer , Dominic Chia

Random matrix models encode a theory of random two dimensional surfaces with applications to string theory, conformal field theory, statistical physics in random geometry and quantum gravity in two dimensions. The key to their success lies…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-09-21 Razvan Gurau

We consider a prototypical problem of Bayesian inference for a structured spiked model: a low-rank signal is corrupted by additive noise. While both information-theoretic and algorithmic limits are well understood when the noise is a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Jean Barbier , Francesco Camilli , Marco Mondelli , Yizhou Xu

We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

In this paper a class of dynamical systems describing expectation variables exactly derived from continuous-time master equations is introduced and studied from the viewpoint of differential geometry, where such master equations consist of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-11-05 Shin-Itiro Goto , Hideitsu Hino

We formulate the Riemannian calculus of the probability set embedded with $L^2$-Wasserstein metric. This is an initial work of transport information geometry. Our investigation starts with the probability simplex (probability manifold)…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Wuchen Li

In this paper, new methodology -- direct approach -- for the determination of the attainable CR type bound of the pure state model, is proposed and successfully applied to the wide variety of pure state models, for example, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-11-26 Keiji matsumoto
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